Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics ¥4.24, price ¥6.10, upside -30.5%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.09 – ¥11.18 · the ¥6.10 price screens above the ¥4.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics Inc. offers supply chain management services to smart manufacturing companies in China and internationally. The company is also involved in provision of comprehensive logistics services and international freight forwarding logistics services.
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Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics Inc. offers supply chain management services to smart manufacturing companies in China and internationally. The company is also involved in provision of comprehensive logistics services and international freight forwarding logistics services. It provides integrated supply chain solutions by air, sea, and land; freight forwarding solutions; multimodal transport solutions; warehousing services; logistics services, including inbound, production, finished, and after sales logistics solutions; and supply chain management services. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Kunshan, China.
Stock analysis
Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240) currently trades at ¥6.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.24, implying the stock looks roughly 44.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥8.33 per share, and 9 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥6.10 price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at ¥0.4700, and 17 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics reported revenue of 6.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 7.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 9.7M CNY in FY2025, compounding −52.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.3B CNY (≈ $338M) · P/E ratio 610.0 · P/S ratio 0.92 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 0.2% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −31%, 300240 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥4.24Fair Value ¥4.24Bull ¥4.24
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.2% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−2.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 2%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.4% a year for the price.
Compare Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
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Is Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.24 versus a price of ¥6.10, about −31% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300240?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics is ¥4.24 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.10.
What is the quality score of 300240?
Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.24 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.24, about −31% upside versus a price of ¥6.10 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.33% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics would have to grow free cash flow by -3.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300240 use?
Our models discount Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics that is -3.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics grew +11.7 % a year. The price currently implies -3.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (-3.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.79 %: that much free cash flow Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics it is ¥4.24 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥6.10. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300240 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.10, fair value ¥4.24, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300240?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.24). For Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics the two are ¥1.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics worth?
The market values Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics at about 2.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.10; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.24 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.1%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300240 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics trades at ¥6.10, about 27% below its 52-week high of ¥8.33 and 24% above the low of ¥4.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.24 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥6.10, calculated fair value ¥4.24 (−31%), Quality Score 54/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300240 calculated?
We run Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.24, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥6.10. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.24, about −31% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics
How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics is 2.3B CNY (≈ $338M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics is 610.0. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics is 0.92 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics are ¥0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 610.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
The dividend yield of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics is 0.3% (payout 200%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
The net margin of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics is 0.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
The operating margin of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
Revenue at Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics is growing +3.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics are growing +278% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics (300240) carry?
The net debt of Jiangsu Feiliks Intl Logistics is 293M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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