Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics Inc (300240) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥2.80 to ¥1.41 (−49.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥0.7487 to ¥1.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.09 – ¥11.18 · fair‑value band ¥0.7487 – ¥1.92 · the ¥5.74 price screens above the ¥1.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics Inc (300240) currently trades at ¥5.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.41, implying the stock looks roughly 75.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 6.5B CNY. Revenue grew 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Net debt stands at 293M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.7487 (bear case) to ¥1.92 (bull case); at ¥5.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -76%, 300240 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥8.33) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.2800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics Inc. offers supply chain management services to smart manufacturing companies in China and internationally. The company is also involved in provision of comprehensive logistics services and international freight forwarding logistics services.
Full company description
Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics Inc. offers supply chain management services to smart manufacturing companies in China and internationally. The company is also involved in provision of comprehensive logistics services and international freight forwarding logistics services. It provides integrated supply chain solutions by air, sea, and land; freight forwarding solutions; multimodal transport solutions; warehousing services; logistics services, including inbound, production, finished, and after sales logistics solutions; and supply chain management services. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Kunshan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics Inc reported revenue of ¥6.4B in FY2025 versus ¥7.0B in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥9.7M in FY2025, compounding −52.3%/yr from FY2021.
300240 screens 76% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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