Brilliance Technology Co Ltd (300542) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 3.7B CNY
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥1.71 to ¥1.65 (−3.5%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price +32.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but trading 745% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (¥1.57 to ¥1.72), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.38 – ¥31.39 · fair‑value band ¥1.57 – ¥1.72 · the ¥13.95 price screens above the ¥1.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Brilliance Technology Co Ltd (300542) currently trades at ¥13.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.65, implying the stock looks roughly 88.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Brilliance Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of -2.2%. Revenue grew 26.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 290M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.57 (bear case) to ¥1.72 (bull case); at ¥13.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -88%, 300542 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥2.50) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.4700). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Brilliance Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides information solutions and services in China. The company offers data center infrastructure system construction, cloud computing/virtualization construction, information security system construction, disaster recovery system construction, and IT system relocation technical services, as …
Full company description
Brilliance Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides information solutions and services in China. The company offers data center infrastructure system construction, cloud computing/virtualization construction, information security system construction, disaster recovery system construction, and IT system relocation technical services, as well as big data platform system construction, security planning and construction, multivendor operation and maintenance management services, etc. The company also provides software development services, such as electronic channels and channel integration platforms, payment settlement, new generation of intermediary businesses, transaction banking, cloud platform applications, data exchanges, big data platforms, blockchain platforms, comprehensive bond business, family trust management, etc., as well as system integration solutions and services covering the entire life cycle of IT infrastructure construction, such as data center planning and design consulting, software and hardware selection and deployment implementation; and professional and technical services. It serves the financial, military, public security, and media industries, as well as large and medium-sized state-owned enterprises and institutions, etc. Brilliance Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Brilliance Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥13.3M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +17.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
300542 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 724 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAP | €182.50 | €169.59 | -7% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$209.78 | C$28.76 | -86% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $75.36 | $43.66 | -42% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $193.32 | $249.28 | +29% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $124.94 | $43.73 | -65% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $323.13 | $112.57 | -65% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $332.26 | $42.27 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $275.30 | $454.04 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $269.33 | $177.51 | -34% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $334.71 | $363.46 | +9% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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