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Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co (300697) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 7.4B CNY

JE Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co 300697 · SHE
Price¥14.94
Fair Value¥5.54
Upside-62.9%
Quality45/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.2% net margin
generates free cash flow
0.93% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range ¥3.63 – ¥6.93 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +6.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 63% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥3.63 to ¥6.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥21.25 ¥5.22 Fair Value ¥5.54 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.22 – ¥21.25 · fair‑value band ¥3.63 – ¥6.93 · the ¥14.94 price screens above the ¥5.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co (300697) currently trades at ¥14.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.54, implying the stock looks roughly 62.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co generated revenue of 3.6B CNY at a net margin of 5.2%. Revenue grew 53.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. Net debt stands at 202M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.63 (bear case) to ¥6.93 (bull case); at ¥14.94, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -63%, 300697 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥2.85 ¥3.37 ¥6.72 76
Growth DCF ¥3.60 ¥5.62 ¥8.87 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.50 ¥6.43 ¥8.36 68
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.62 ¥5.85 ¥9.56 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.84 ¥7.99 ¥13.23 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.61 ¥7.90 ¥12.41 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.30 ¥7.26 ¥10.98 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.65 ¥7.97 ¥11.77 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.09 ¥7.05 ¥11.65 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.03 ¥6.59 ¥10.48 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.26 ¥7.10 ¥11.13 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.61 ¥11.92 ¥16.35 54
Lynch FV ¥3.12 ¥4.46 ¥5.80 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.12 ¥4.46 ¥5.80 46
EPV ¥4.73 ¥5.37 ¥5.93 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.89 ¥6.52 ¥8.15 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.89 ¥6.52 ¥8.15 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.89 ¥6.52 ¥8.15 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.88 ¥7.62 ¥9.36 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.00 ¥6.44 ¥7.88 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.19 ¥7.12 ¥9.06 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.55 ¥2.07 ¥3.10 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.60 ¥5.62 ¥8.87 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.61 ¥7.79 ¥11.87 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.85 ¥3.37 ¥6.72 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.23 ¥6.74 ¥8.69 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.50 ¥6.43 ¥8.36 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.10) versus Asset-Based (¥2.07). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +53.6%
Net margin 5.2%
Return on equity 15.0%
Free cash flow 105M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 39.5
More key figures
Operating margin 7.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4300
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +44.0%
Net debt 202M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 34
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, production, and sale of copper and copper alloy products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, production, and sale of copper and copper alloy products in China and internationally. The company provides electrified railway contact network products, including railway contact wires and catenary cables; copper busbar series products, such as standard and new copper busbars, and vehicle high-voltage connectors. Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co.,Ltd was founded in 1985 and is based in Jiangyin, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co reported revenue of ¥3.2B in FY2025 versus ¥2.2B in FY2021, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥166M in FY2025, compounding +11.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+23.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+14.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+6.9%
Revenue +10.1%/yr
FY21 ¥2.2B
FY22 ¥2.1B
FY23 ¥2.4B
FY24 ¥2.6B
FY25 ¥3.2B
Net income +11.8%/yr
FY21 ¥106M
FY22 ¥113M
FY23 ¥136M
FY24 ¥131M
FY25 ¥166M

300697 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300697

Peer Group

Copper · 58 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 54% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.49× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.05× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 10.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 28.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 100
PAST 60 · sector 22
HEALTH 0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 19 · sector 20

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Southern Copper Corporation SCCO $175.66 $86.74 -51%
Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX $61.52 $22.81 -63%
Lundin Mining Corporation LUN C$34.86 C$18.67 -46%
Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 ¥39.03 ¥35.19 -10%
Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 ¥5.79 ¥3.06 -47%
Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM C$28.58 C$21.79 -24%
Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 ¥16.66 ¥7.00 -58%
Capstone Copper Corp CSC A$13.06 A$7.28 -44%
Yunnan Copper Co 000878 ¥14.32 ¥9.12 -36%
China Nonferrous Mining Corporation 1258 HK$14.75 HK$1.76 -88%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co (300697) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.54 versus a price of ¥14.94, about −63% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300697?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co is ¥5.54 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥14.94.
What is the quality score of 300697?
Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co (300697)?
Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300697?
The net profit margin of Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co is about 5.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co pay a dividend?
Jiangyin Electrical Alloy Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.93% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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