Cre8 Direct (NingBo) Co (300703) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 2.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 33 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥12.22 to ¥5.72 (−53.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.09 – ¥37.36 · fair‑value band ¥4.29 – ¥7.15 · the ¥13.94 price screens above the ¥5.72 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Cre8 Direct (NingBo) Co (300703) currently trades at ¥13.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.72, implying the stock looks roughly 59.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cre8 Direct (NingBo) Co generated revenue of 2.2B CNY at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 9.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 273M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.29 (bear case) to ¥7.15 (bull case); at ¥13.94, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -59%, 300703 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥8.68) versus Asset-Based (¥2.97). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cre8 Direct (NingBo) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, production, processing, and sale of paper products in North America.
Full company description
Cre8 Direct (NingBo) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, production, processing, and sale of paper products in North America. The company offers eco-friendly products comprising recycled paper, sugar cane paper, bamboo paper, recycled plastics, and other eco-friendly materials; journals and notebooks; planners and calendars; back to school products, including portfolio pocket folders, pencil cases and pouches, index cards, sticky notes, and expanding files; office and organization products consisting of storage boxes and bags, desk organization products, clipboards, ring binders, document trays, magazine holders, and pen holders; and stationery and gifts, such as notepads, note cubes, thank you notes, boxed notecards, stationery gift sets, and metal pens. It also provides celebration products comprising gift bags and boxes, and greeting cards; seasonal products consisting of Christmas folded boxes and bags, Christmas wraps and cards, and Christmas tableware; creative essential products, including sketchbooks, painting products, and scratch and velvet art products; and kids activities and game products, such as tapes, puzzles, and paper maches, as well as scrapbooking and photo albums, paper crafting products, art supplies, party D.I.Y., dated goods, home décor, and children's crafts. It also distributes home sports and fitness products, including dumbbell benches, gantry racks, weight-bearing equipment, and trampolines; and garden and colorful flags, outdoor flags, daily textile products, household items, and other products. The company serves retailers and brands in the United States, Japan, Australia, and Europe. Cre8 Direct (NingBo) Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Ningbo Chenglu Paper Products Manufacturing Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cre8 Direct (NingBo) Co reported revenue of ¥2.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥60.7M in FY2025, compounding +59.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +14.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
300703 screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Klabin S.A →
Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.58 | R$3.89 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.45 | €15.47 | -34% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$41.70 | R$138.01 | +231% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 103.00 | kr 49.40 | -52% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥14.13 | ¥17.29 | +22% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 305.40 | kr 217.72 | -29% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.55 | HK$8.73 | +16% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,078 CLP | 1,269 CLP | +18% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥21.09 | ¥21.06 | -0% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 68.70 | kr 48.60 | -29% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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