Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd ¥31.70, price ¥11.60, upside +173.3%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.30 – ¥48.52 · fair‑value band ¥19.34 – ¥48.58 · the ¥11.60 price screens below the ¥31.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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VATS Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co., Ltd. operates as a domestic wine marketing and service provider in China. The company distributes domestic and foreign wine products and diversified services, such as liquor, imported wine and spirits.
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VATS Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co., Ltd. operates as a domestic wine marketing and service provider in China. The company distributes domestic and foreign wine products and diversified services, such as liquor, imported wine and spirits. It operates through offline channels, such as chain liquor stores, retail outlets, KA stores, and group purchases under Huazhi Liquor brand. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755) currently trades at ¥11.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥31.70, implying the stock looks roughly 63.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥32.92 per share, and 8 of the 10 models we run sit above the ¥11.60 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.42, and 2 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥19.34 (bear) to ¥48.58 (bull), the price of ¥11.60 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd reported revenue of 5.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 7.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was −369M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 6.3B CNY (≈ $945M) · P/S ratio 1.20 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.9800 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin −6.3% · Return on equity −13.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3% · Operating margin 3.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 173%, 300755 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥19.34Fair Value ¥31.70Bull ¥48.58
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.28/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−37.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.1% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.6% (2020) → −0.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−12.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+87.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.5% a year for the price and +84.1% for the forecasts.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300755
Frequently asked questions
Is Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥31.70 versus a price of ¥11.60, about +173% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 300755?
Our model-based fair value for Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd is ¥31.70 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.60.
What is the quality score of 300755?
Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥31.70 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥19.34, optimistic scenario ¥48.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥31.70, about +173% upside versus a price of ¥11.60 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥19.34, optimistic scenario ¥48.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -12.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300755 use?
Our models discount Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.04, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd that is -12.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd grew +3.6 % a year. The price currently implies -12.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (-12.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.52 %: that much free cash flow Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd it is ¥31.70 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥11.60. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 300755 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥11.60, fair value ¥31.70, a gap of about +173% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300755?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥11.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥31.70). For Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd the two are ¥20.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd worth?
The market values Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd at about 6.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥11.60; our models calculate a fair value of ¥31.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300755?
Our models span a range for Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥19.34, base ¥31.70, optimistic ¥48.58 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥11.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −13.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300755 from its 52-week high?
Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd trades at ¥11.60, about 51% below its 52-week high of ¥23.59 and 13% above the low of ¥10.30 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥31.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Pernod Ricard SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥11.60, calculated fair value ¥31.70 (+173%), Quality Score 55/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300755 calculated?
We run Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥31.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd currently trades 173 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥11.60. Our model-based fair value is ¥31.70, about +173% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥19.34). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (¥19.34 to ¥48.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
The market capitalisation of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd is 6.3B CNY (≈ $945M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd is 1.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
Earnings per share at Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd are ¥−0.9800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
The dividend yield of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd is 1.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
The net margin of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd is −6.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd is −13.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
The operating margin of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
Revenue at Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd is growing −22.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755)?
Earnings per share at Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd are growing −38.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd (300755) carry?
The net debt of Vats Liquor Chain Store Management Joint Stock Co Ltd is 527M CNY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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