Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co (300771) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 33 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥6.90 to ¥6.59 (−4.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +15.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.89 – ¥19.11 · fair‑value band ¥5.17 – ¥7.89 · the ¥12.10 price screens above the ¥6.59 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co (300771) currently trades at ¥12.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.59, implying the stock looks roughly 45.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co generated revenue of 620M CNY at a net margin of 14.8%. Revenue grew 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 331M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.17 (bear case) to ¥7.89 (bull case); at ¥12.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -46%, 300771 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥8.75) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when 300771 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co., Ltd. researches and develops, manufactures, sells, and services smart storage and delivery solutions in China and internationally.
Full company description
Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co., Ltd. researches and develops, manufactures, sells, and services smart storage and delivery solutions in China and internationally. The company provides vending machines, such as smart, book, AI, elevator chilled, spiral track, frozen, magazine-clip, advertising touchscreen, and mix track; parcel locker, includes solar, bluetooth, smart refrigerated, and smart frozen; food delivery locker, comprising single and double sided, stainless steel, and hot food vending machine, as well as double-sided food vending locker products. It also provides electronic, RFID, police equipment, and intelligent tool storage lockers, as well as battery exchange charging locker. The company also provides after-sale services. It provides solutions to communities, education, entertainment, new retail, logistics, medical care, political and legal institutions, etc. Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co reported revenue of ¥600M in FY2025 versus ¥1.3B in FY2021, a compound −16.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥82.7M in FY2025, compounding −16.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +15.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −24.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
300771 screens 46% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
Compare Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co (300771) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 300771?
What is the quality score of 300771?
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co (300771)?
What is the net profit margin of 300771?
Does Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.