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Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co (300850) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 12.2B CNY

LX Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co 300850 · SHE
Price¥29.32
Fair Value¥28.55
Upside-2.6%
Quality43/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.00% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range ¥15.64 – ¥35.69 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +15.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥15.64 to ¥35.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥140.46 ¥13.68 Fair Value ¥28.55 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥13.68 – ¥140.46 · fair‑value band ¥15.64 – ¥35.69 · the ¥29.32 price screens above the ¥28.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co (300850) currently trades at ¥29.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥28.55, implying the stock looks roughly 2.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co generated revenue of 4.6B CNY at a net margin of 17.4%. Revenue declined 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.8%. Net debt stands at 3.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥15.64 (bear case) to ¥35.69 (bull case); at ¥29.32, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -3%, 300850 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥15.48 ¥18.51 ¥44.92 76
ROIC Compounder ¥20.51 ¥28.97 ¥37.42 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.7800 ¥1.62 ¥2.56 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥29.19 ¥66.76 ¥145.63 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥13.44 ¥93.70 ¥131.49 54
Lynch FV ¥42.05 ¥60.06 ¥78.08 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥42.05 ¥60.06 ¥78.08 46
EPV ¥18.40 ¥21.51 ¥24.23 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.7800 ¥1.62 ¥2.56 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.7800 ¥1.36 ¥1.70 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥31.12 ¥41.49 ¥51.87 63
P/S Multiple ¥16.73 ¥22.31 ¥27.88 58
P/B Multiple ¥25.19 ¥33.59 ¥41.99 55
EV/EBIT ¥28.65 ¥38.29 ¥47.93 53
EV/EBITDA ¥31.45 ¥42.03 ¥52.60 54
EV/Revenue ¥13.79 ¥19.81 ¥25.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥8.45 ¥11.33 ¥16.90 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥15.48 ¥18.51 ¥44.92 76
ROIC Compounder ¥20.51 ¥28.97 ¥37.42 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥56.52 ¥80.75 ¥104.97 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥80.75) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.36). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.3%
Net margin 17.4%
Return on equity 12.8%
Free cash flow −426M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 15.4
More key figures
Operating margin 22.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.91
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -25.0%
Net debt 3.2B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 38
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 5
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing of wind turbine business in China. The company offers wind turbine main shaft bearings, yaw bearings, pitch bearings, marine engineering equipment crane slewing bearings, tunnel boring bearings and key components, gear wheel box bearings, wind turbine locking discs, wind turbine …

Full company description

Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing of wind turbine business in China. The company offers wind turbine main shaft bearings, yaw bearings, pitch bearings, marine engineering equipment crane slewing bearings, tunnel boring bearings and key components, gear wheel box bearings, wind turbine locking discs, wind turbine high-speed couplings, slewing bearing rolling elements, slewing bearing cages, and industrial forgings products. It also engages in the photovoltaic and wind power generation business. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Luoyang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co reported revenue of ¥4.6B in FY2025 versus ¥2.5B in FY2021, a compound +16.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥818M in FY2025, compounding +12.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+56.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+20.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.5%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+33.0%
Revenue +16.9%/yr
FY21 ¥2.5B
FY22 ¥2.7B
FY23 ¥2.8B
FY24 ¥2.9B
FY25 ¥4.6B
Net income +12.3%/yr
FY21 ¥514M
FY22 ¥316M
FY23 ¥375M
FY24 ¥65.4M
FY25 ¥818M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300850

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.10× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.74× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 30 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 35
PAST 51 · sector 21
HEALTH 95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 25

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co (300850) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥28.55 versus a price of ¥29.32, about −3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 300850?
Our model-based fair value for Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co is ¥28.55 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥29.32.
What is the quality score of 300850?
Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co (300850)?
Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300850?
The net profit margin of Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co is about 17.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co pay a dividend?
Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.00% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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