Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. ¥8.26, price ¥22.30, upside -63.0%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥13.57 – ¥53.01 · fair‑value band ¥7.76 – ¥9.84 · the ¥22.30 price screens above the ¥8.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells automotive plastic injection tools in China.
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Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells automotive plastic injection tools in China. It offers IP tools, including lower and upper dashboard body, defrosting duct, defrosting grill, paladin dashboards, and other IP products; console tools comprising console, console base, and console assembly products; door panels; glove boxes; and lower and upper pillars, as well as back injected pillars. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Qingdao, China.
Stock analysis
Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022) currently trades at ¥22.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.26, implying the stock looks roughly 169.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥13.04 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥22.30 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥5.33, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥7.76 (bear) to ¥9.84 (bull), the price of ¥22.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 826M CNY in FY2025 versus 592M CNY in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was 52.7M CNY in FY2025, compounding −3.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.5B CNY (≈ $374M) · P/S ratio 2.99 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2700 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% · Operating margin 5.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −63%, 301022 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥7.76Fair Value ¥8.26Bull ¥9.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.49/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.9%
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−23.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−24.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 7%
2025 sits 90% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Compare Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 263 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−64% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.26× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.45× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA3.4× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)33· sector 35
PAST (return on equity)11· sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)27· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.26 versus a price of ¥22.30, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301022?
Our model-based fair value for Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is ¥8.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥22.30.
What is the quality score of 301022?
Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.76, optimistic scenario ¥9.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.26, about −63% upside versus a price of ¥22.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.76, optimistic scenario ¥9.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 838M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.35% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. it is ¥8.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥22.30. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301022 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥22.30, fair value ¥8.26, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301022?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥22.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.26). For Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. the two are ¥14.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. at about 2.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥22.30; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301022?
Our models span a range for Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥7.76, base ¥8.26, optimistic ¥9.84 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥22.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
Balance-sheet figures for Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.7%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301022 from its 52-week high?
Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. trades at ¥22.30, about 44% below its 52-week high of ¥39.66 and 14% above the low of ¥19.55 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥22.30, calculated fair value ¥8.26 (−63%), Quality Score 29/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301022 calculated?
We run Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥8.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥22.30. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.26, about −63% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
How large is the market capitalisation of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
The market capitalisation of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 2.5B CNY (≈ $374M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 2.99 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
Earnings per share at Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. are ¥−0.2700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
The dividend yield of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 1.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
The net margin of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 6.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
The operating margin of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
Revenue at Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is growing +6.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
Earnings per share at Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. are growing −5.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022) generate?
The free cash flow of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is −260M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022) carry?
The net debt of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 70.1M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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