Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. stock ¥9.39, price ¥19.10, that is 50.8% below the price, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥13.57 – ¥53.01 · fair‑value band ¥7.70 – ¥11.74 · the ¥19.10 price screens above the ¥9.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells automotive plastic injection tools in China.
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It offers IP tools, including lower and upper dashboard body, defrosting duct, defrosting grill, paladin dashboards, and other IP products; console tools comprising console, console base, and console assembly products; door panels; glove boxes; and lower and upper pillars, as well as back injected pillars.
The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Qingdao, China.
Stock analysis
Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022) currently trades at ¥19.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.39, 51% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥12.95 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥19.10 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥4.36, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥7.70 (bear) to ¥11.74 (bull), the price of ¥19.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 826M CNY in FY2025 versus 592M CNY in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was 52.7M CNY in FY2025, compounding −3.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.0B CNY (≈ $299M) Small · P/S ratio 2.52 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.9900 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity −2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 8.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −51%, 301022 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥7.70Fair Value ¥9.39Bull¥11.74
Price ¥19.10 · Downside -50.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income¥10.01¥9.83¥10.0476
EPV¥4.92¥5.54¥6.0774
ROIC Compounder¥4.92¥5.54¥6.0772
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥3.58¥21.96¥30.6463
Lynch FV¥6.30¥8.99¥11.6961
PEG = 1.0¥6.30¥8.99¥11.6957
EPV¥4.92¥5.54¥6.0774
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥2.47¥4.60¥6.5267
DDM Multi-Stage¥2.47¥4.12¥4.8967
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥8.29¥11.05¥13.8163
P/S Multiple¥6.71¥8.95¥11.1858
P/B Multiple¥45.57¥60.76¥75.9555
EV/EBIT¥6.61¥9.05¥11.4966
EV/EBITDA¥10.33¥14.01¥17.6967
EV/Revenue¥4.52¥6.76¥8.9953
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥3.13¥4.74¥5.9354
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥10.01¥9.83¥10.0476
ROIC Compounder¥4.92¥5.54¥6.0772
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥9.06¥12.95¥16.8367
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.49/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.9%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−22.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−24.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 7%
2025 sits 90% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Compare Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 260 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−51.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets2.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−3.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)8.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−6.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.42× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)2.42× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA26.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 68
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)31· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.39 versus a price of ¥19.10, about 51% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301022?
Our model-based fair value for Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is ¥9.39 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥19.10.
What is the quality score of 301022?
Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥9.39 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.70, optimistic scenario ¥11.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥9.39, about 51% lower versus a price of ¥19.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.70, optimistic scenario ¥11.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 828M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 1.57% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. pays a dividend of ¥0.3 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 16, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2022. The payout ratio is 57.0% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. it is ¥9.39 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥19.10. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 301022 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥19.10, fair value ¥9.39, a gap of about −51% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301022?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥19.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥9.39). For Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. the two are ¥9.71 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. at about 2.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥19.10; our models calculate a fair value of ¥9.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301022?
Our models span a range for Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥7.70, base ¥9.39, optimistic ¥11.74 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥19.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
Balance-sheet figures for Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −2.2%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301022 from its 52-week high?
Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. trades at ¥19.10, about 52% below its 52-week high of ¥39.66 and 3% above the low of ¥18.46 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥9.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥19.10, calculated fair value ¥9.39 (−51%), Quality Score 30/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301022 calculated?
We run Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥9.39 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ¥19.10. Our model-based fair value is ¥9.39, about 51% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
How large is the market capitalisation of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
The market capitalisation of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 2.0B CNY (≈ $299M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 2.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
Earnings per share at Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. are ¥−0.9900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
The dividend yield of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 1.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
The net margin of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 6.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is −2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
The operating margin of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
Revenue at Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is growing −6.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022)?
Earnings per share at Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. are growing −5.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022) generate?
The free cash flow of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is −260M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. (301022) carry?
The net debt of Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co. Ltd. is 70.1M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 5, 2026