CIMC Vehicles (Group) Co (301039) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 11.0B CNY

A solid business, screening 64% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥9.79). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.80 – ¥13.97 · fair‑value band ¥9.79 – ¥16.32 · the ¥7.96 price screens below the ¥13.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

CIMC Vehicles (Group) Co (301039) currently trades at ¥7.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.05, implying the stock looks roughly 63.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, CIMC Vehicles (Group) Co generated revenue of 20.2B CNY at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.79 (bear case) to ¥16.32 (bull case); at ¥7.96, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 64%, 301039 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥15.17) versus Earnings-Based (¥5.17). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

CIMC Vehicles (Group) Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, sells, and services semi-trailers worldwide. The company engages in the wholesale and retail of vehicles, auto parts, and metal materials; processing and manufacture of general mechanical products; and metal structures and related businesses.

Full company description

CIMC Vehicles (Group) Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, sells, and services semi-trailers worldwide. The company engages in the wholesale and retail of vehicles, auto parts, and metal materials; processing and manufacture of general mechanical products; and metal structures and related businesses. It also provides chassis, tractors, related spare parts, trailers and accessories, auto parts, containers, folding containers, tank containers, composite material products, tank trucks, and automobile trailers. In addition, the company develops, produces, and sells various special vehicles, modified vehicles, transport vehicles, mechanical products, and metal structure parts. Further, it engages in the sale of automobiles, trams, auto parts, metal materials, hardware products, electronic equipment, mechanical equipment, and chemical products; import and export of goods and technologies; operation of highways and parking lots; land freight transportation; domestic freight forwarding; and leasing of machinery equipment, vehicles, and containers. Additionally, the company is involved in the development, construction, operation, leasing, and sale of warehousing and supporting facilities; property management and investment business; inspection of motor vehicles; and vehicle storage, warehousing, computer software, and logistics activities, as well as provides technical consulting services. It markets and sells its products under the CIMC Lighthouse, Vanguard, CIE, SDC, LAG, Ruijiang Tanker, and Tonghua Tanker brands. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Tianda Heavy Industries Ltd. and changed its name to CIMC Vehicles (Group) Co., Ltd. in May 2005. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CIMC Vehicles (Group) Co reported revenue of ¥20.2B in FY2025 versus ¥27.6B in FY2021, a compound −7.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥904M in FY2025, compounding +0.1%/yr from FY2021.

Watch 301039: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.