Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co (301109) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 10.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price +3.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 20% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ¥12.16 (bear) to ¥20.26 (bull), base ¥16.21. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 47/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range ¥8.11 – ¥17.29 · fair‑value band ¥12.16 – ¥20.26 · the ¥13.55 price screens below the ¥16.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co (301109) currently trades at ¥13.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.21, implying the stock looks roughly 19.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co generated revenue of 2.7B CNY at a net margin of 28.1%. Revenue declined 3.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.1%. Net debt stands at 1.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥12.16 (bear case) to ¥20.26 (bull case); at ¥13.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 20%, 301109 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥29.99) versus Asset-Based (¥6.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co., Ltd. engages in solid waste treatment and green energy businesses in China. The company invests in, operates, and manages domestic and food waste, municipal sludge, leachate and ash treatment, and disposal facilities.
Full company description
Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co., Ltd. engages in solid waste treatment and green energy businesses in China. The company invests in, operates, and manages domestic and food waste, municipal sludge, leachate and ash treatment, and disposal facilities. It is also involved in waste incineration power generation; domestic waste transfer and restaurant kitchen waste transfer and supporting sewage treatment; harmless treatment and resource utilization of food waste; sludge disposal; landfill and ash treatment and disposal, etc. In addition, the company offers electricity and industrial grade mixed oils. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Changsha, China. Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co reported revenue of ¥2.7B in FY2025 versus ¥2.1B in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥717M in FY2025, compounding +12.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Waste Management · 169 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $233.33 | $128.02 | -45% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $219.20 | $122.01 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$242.43 | C$78.67 | -68% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €37.51 | €24.50 | -35% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $303.64 | $155.37 | -49% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$55.40 | C$94.12 | +70% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €12.20 | €7.30 | -40% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.32 | ¥5.27 | -17% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥16.18 | ¥20.91 | +29% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.34 | A$1.18 | -50% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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