Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. stock ¥19.95, price ¥15.15, upside +31.7%, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
55‑month range ¥8.11 – ¥17.29 · fair‑value band ¥10.75 – ¥25.93 · the ¥15.15 price screens below the ¥19.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co., Ltd. engages in solid waste treatment and green energy businesses in China. The company invests in, operates, and manages domestic and food waste, municipal sludge, leachate and ash treatment, and disposal facilities.
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It is also involved in waste incineration power generation; domestic waste transfer and restaurant kitchen waste transfer and supporting sewage treatment; harmless treatment and resource utilization of food waste; sludge disposal; landfill and ash treatment and disposal, etc.
In addition, the company offers electricity and industrial grade mixed oils. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Changsha, China. Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Group Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109) currently trades at ¥15.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.95, implying the stock looks roughly 24% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥24.85 per share, and 14 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥15.15 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥7.75, and 11 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥10.75 (bear) to ¥25.93 (bull), the price of ¥15.15 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 2.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was 717M CNY in FY2025, compounding +12.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 12.0B CNY (≈ $1.8B) Small · P/E ratio 15.9 · P/S ratio 5.86 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.9500 · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin 26.3% · Return on equity 11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 72 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 32%, 301109 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥10.75Fair Value ¥19.95Bull¥25.93
Price ¥15.15 · Upside +31.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2539 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income¥8.15¥8.81¥9.9576
FCF DCF¥12.97¥22.18¥45.3474
Growth DCF¥12.37¥23.93¥43.4074
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥12.97¥22.18¥45.3474
Owner Earnings¥11.61¥24.80¥49.1071
5Y Revenue Exit¥5.60¥9.37¥15.1670
5Y EBITDA Exit¥14.22¥28.47¥50.4571
5Y P/E Exit¥12.65¥25.94¥42.5567
10Y Revenue Exit¥7.89¥12.96¥19.2165
10Y EBITDA Exit¥13.62¥27.55¥51.8864
10Y P/E Exit¥12.60¥24.89¥44.9460
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥6.18¥40.22¥56.2863
Lynch FV¥11.70¥16.71¥21.7261
PEG = 1.0¥11.70¥16.71¥21.7257
EPV¥6.32¥7.40¥8.3170
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥4.38¥8.17¥11.6167
DDM Multi-Stage¥4.38¥7.33¥8.7067
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥14.30¥19.07¥23.8463
P/S Multiple¥3.77¥5.02¥6.2857
EV/EBIT¥13.23¥18.03¥22.8365
EV/EBITDA¥15.57¥21.15¥26.7367
EV/Revenue¥2.00¥3.36¥4.7151
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥0.7300¥1.10¥1.3854
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥12.37¥23.93¥43.4074
Rev-Margin DCF¥5.60¥9.69¥15.5870
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥8.15¥8.81¥9.9576
ROIC Compounder¥6.32¥7.40¥8.3171
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥16.43¥23.47¥30.5167
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.55% → 45%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.3% a year for the price.
Compare Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 155 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Above median
Fair Value upside+31.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.3% · Above median
Return on assets6.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)36.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)41.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)15.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)4.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.32× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)15.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.54× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)5.86× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)15.1× · Cheaper than median
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Is Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥19.95 versus a price of ¥15.15, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 301109?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. is ¥19.95 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥15.15.
What is the quality score of 301109?
Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥19.95 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥10.75, optimistic scenario ¥25.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥19.95, about +32% upside versus a price of ¥15.15 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥10.75, optimistic scenario ¥25.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 4.31% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. pays a dividend of ¥0.653 per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.3%. The last ex-dividend date was May 11, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2022. The payout ratio is 68.7% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 2.13 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +2.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.1 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301109 use?
Our models discount Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.23, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. that is +2.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. grew +20.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +2.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (+2.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.19 %: that much free cash flow Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. it is ¥19.95 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ¥15.15. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 301109 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥15.15, fair value ¥19.95, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301109?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥15.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥19.95). For Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. the two are ¥4.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. at about 12.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ¥15.15; our models calculate a fair value of ¥19.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301109?
Our models span a range for Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥10.75, base ¥19.95, optimistic ¥25.93 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ¥15.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301109?
Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.9 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥19.95 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 5.9, EV/EBITDA 9.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 11.3%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301109 from its 52-week high?
Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. trades at ¥15.15, about 12% below its 52-week high of ¥17.29 and 22% above the low of ¥12.46 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥19.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ¥15.15, calculated fair value ¥19.95 (+32%), Quality Score 50/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301109 calculated?
We run Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥19.95 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. currently trades 24% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥15.15. Our model-based fair value is ¥19.95, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. right now?
Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (¥10.75 to ¥25.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
The market capitalisation of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. is 12.0B CNY (≈ $1.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. is 5.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
Earnings per share at Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. are ¥0.9500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
The dividend yield of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. is 4.3% (payout 68.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
The net margin of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. is 26.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
The operating margin of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. is 41.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
Revenue at Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. is growing +15.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109)?
Earnings per share at Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. are growing −5.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. (301109) carry?
The net debt of Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection Co. Ltd. is 1.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 6, 2026