Shenzhen Phoenix Telecom Technology Co. Ltd. (301191) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 10.0B CNY (≈ $1.5B) · ISIN CNE100005CL7
What is Shenzhen Phoenix Telecom Technology Co. Ltd. really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 170% above our fair value of ¥30.81.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from ¥17.09 to ¥30.81 (+80.3%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −7.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥32.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
51‑month range ¥35.01 – ¥135.01 · fair‑value band ¥23.45 – ¥32.87 · the ¥83.09 price screens above the ¥30.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen Phoenix Telecom Technology Co. Ltd. (301191) currently trades at ¥83.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥30.81, implying the stock looks roughly 169.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥25.73 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥83.09 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.89, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Phoenix Telecom Technology Co. Ltd. generated revenue of 2.0B CNY at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue grew 65.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 888M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥23.45 (bear case) to ¥32.87 (bull case); at ¥83.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −63%, 301191 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.4260 per share, which is 1.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥25.73) versus Earnings-Based (¥5.89). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Shenzhen Phoenix Telecom Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sale of network equipment and other communication equipment components. It offers switches, routers, wireless, and automotive electronics products. The company also provides manufacturing services.
Full company description
Shenzhen Phoenix Telecom Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sale of network equipment and other communication equipment components. It offers switches, routers, wireless, and automotive electronics products. The company also provides manufacturing services. It serves operators, government, finance, education, energy, electricity, transportation, small and medium-sized enterprises, hospitals, and personal consumption markets. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen Phoenix Telecom Technology Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 1.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 64.9M CNY in FY2025, compounding −21.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +20.5 % · buybacks/dilution −3.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
301191 screens 170% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 302 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $112.15 | $61.53 | −45% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥866.12 | ¥171.09 | −80% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥61.83 | ¥28.65 | −54% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥429.90 | ¥176.99 | −59% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $10.21 | $3.78 | −63% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $491.24 | $236.33 | −52% |
| Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 | ¥400.03 | ¥201.38 | −50% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥276.25 | ¥43.67 | −84% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $10.13 | $19.85 | +96% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,270 TWD | 1,135 TWD | −50% |
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