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Hangzhou Guotai Environmental Protection Technology Co (301203) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.6B CNY

Price¥42.00
Fair Value¥24.40
Upside-41.9%
Quality94/100
Evidence: High Range ¥20.29 – ¥28.84

Analysis

Hangzhou Guotai Environmental Protection Technology Co (301203) currently trades at ¥42.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥24.40 — implying the stock looks roughly 41.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Hangzhou Guotai Environmental Protection Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the sludge treatment and recycling business in China. It operates through three segments: Sludge Treatment Services, Sales of Complete Equipment, and Ecological Restoration of the Water Environment. The Sludge Treatment Services segment focuses on the treatment, disposal, and resource utilization of sludge from sewage treatment plants, utilizing proprietary deep dehydration technology to convert sludge into fuel for power generation or cement production, thus enabling closed-loop disposal and resource recycling. The Sales of Complete Equipment segment offers customized environmental protection equipment, including sludge treatment systems, volatile organic compound (VOC) treatment units, solvent recovery systems, and resource recovery equipment for the lithium battery, new materials, and chemical industries, as well as advanced oxidation wastewater treatment systems. The Ecological Restoration of Water Environme…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.