Zkteco Co (301330) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥20.23 to ¥18.25 (−9.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥22.81). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range ¥18.77 – ¥47.98 · fair‑value band ¥13.68 – ¥22.81 · the ¥24.52 price screens above the ¥18.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Zkteco Co (301330) currently trades at ¥24.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.25, implying the stock looks roughly 25.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zkteco Co generated revenue of 2.2B CNY at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue grew 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 33.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥13.68 (bear case) to ¥22.81 (bull case); at ¥24.52, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -26%, 301330 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥20.08) versus Asset-Based (¥9.91). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zkteco Co., Ltd. provides biometric solutions and AI cognitive spatial intelligence technologies. It operates through Smart Space Products, Smart Office Products, Digital Identity Authentication Products, Smart Business Products, and Smart Living Products segments.
Full company description
Zkteco Co., Ltd. provides biometric solutions and AI cognitive spatial intelligence technologies. It operates through Smart Space Products, Smart Office Products, Digital Identity Authentication Products, Smart Business Products, and Smart Living Products segments. The Smart Space Business Products segment provides AI cognitive space computing technology and multi-dimensional perception capabilities that enables intelligent management of people, vehicles, objects, and the environment. The Smart Office Products segment offers intelligent solutions for time management, security management, and operation optimization for corporate customers in scenarios, such as visitors, meetings, and consumption. This segment also integrates AI agents and cloud technology to create intelligent time management solutions and a one-stop intelligent office ecosystem. The Digital Identity Authentication Products Segment provides a digital identity authentication system that integrates multimodal BioCV, big models, and blockchain technology. The Smart Business Products segment offers Internet of Things (IoT) infrastructure, digital solutions, and operation services. Its solutions are used in education, enterprise, energy, construction, finance, health care, hotel management, public facilities, residential, retail, and supply chain applications. The Smart Living Products segment engages in expanding into the smart outdoor domain and optimizing the smart living product system. Zkteco Co., Ltd. was founded in 2007 and is based in Dongguan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zkteco Co reported revenue of ¥2.1B in FY2025 versus ¥2.0B in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥215M in FY2025, compounding +5.9%/yr from FY2021.
301330 screens 26% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
Compare Zkteco Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Zkteco Co (301330) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 301330?
What is the quality score of 301330?
What is the revenue of Zkteco Co (301330)?
What is the net profit margin of 301330?
Does Zkteco Co pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Zkteco Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.