Jiangsu Tongxingbao Intelligent Transportation Technology Co (301339) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 6.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price +16.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
47‑month range ¥8.22 – ¥21.49 · fair‑value band ¥4.35 – ¥7.12 · the ¥11.70 price screens above the ¥5.74 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Tongxingbao Intelligent Transportation Technology Co (301339) currently trades at ¥11.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.74, implying the stock looks roughly 51.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Tongxingbao Intelligent Transportation Technology Co generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 20.9%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 29.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.35 (bear case) to ¥7.12 (bull case); at ¥11.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -51%, 301339 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥10.11) versus Asset-Based (¥3.18). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangsu Tongxingbao Intelligent Transportation Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides smart transportation platform solutions for highways, trunk roads, and urban transportation in China.
Full company description
Jiangsu Tongxingbao Intelligent Transportation Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides smart transportation platform solutions for highways, trunk roads, and urban transportation in China. The company is involved in the smart transportation electronic toll collection (ETC) business, including ETC issuance and sales, and electronic toll collection service business; and the smart transportation operation management system business, including smart transportation operation management system software development, and solutions and system technology services provision. It offers smart transportation ecological services, such as data elements, supply chain services, parking, refueling and charging, car maintenance and use, and road economy for ETC users, financial institutions, and related partners; and ecological application services. It serves government agencies related to transportation management, road and bridge enterprises and institutions, traffic police, and other law enforcement units. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Nanjing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Tongxingbao Intelligent Transportation Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥593M in FY2021, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥221M in FY2025, compounding +4.2%/yr from FY2021.
301339 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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