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Fengzhushou Co (301382) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 10.6B CNY

FC Fengzhushou Co 301382 · SHE
Price¥40.90
Fair Value¥9.17
Upside-77.6%
Quality42/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.13% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range ¥6.04 – ¥11.46 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥10.79 to ¥9.17 (−15.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 78% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥6.04 to ¥11.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥51.61 ¥12.30 Fair Value ¥9.17 May 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

39‑month range ¥12.30 – ¥51.61 · fair‑value band ¥6.04 – ¥11.46 · the ¥40.90 price screens above the ¥9.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Fengzhushou Co (301382) currently trades at ¥40.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.17, implying the stock looks roughly 77.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Fengzhushou Co generated revenue of 2.2B CNY at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 24.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at 743M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.04 (bear case) to ¥11.46 (bull case); at ¥40.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -78%, 301382 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.1800 ¥0.3000 ¥0.4900 80
Residual Income ¥5.49 ¥5.91 ¥7.13 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.99 ¥7.69 ¥10.19 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.1800 ¥0.2600 ¥0.4900 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.48 ¥10.12 ¥21.97 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.90 ¥11.84 ¥24.43 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.26 ¥12.58 ¥25.02 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥6.20 ¥15.81 ¥29.25 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.03 ¥12.66 ¥19.36 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.62 ¥13.44 ¥29.85 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.58 ¥13.31 ¥28.46 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.67 ¥25.58 ¥35.90 54
Lynch FV ¥12.51 ¥17.87 ¥23.23 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥12.51 ¥17.87 ¥23.23 46
EPV ¥5.99 ¥6.98 ¥7.85 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.09 ¥10.79 ¥13.49 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.88 ¥9.17 ¥11.46 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.88 ¥9.17 ¥11.46 55
EV/EBIT ¥10.71 ¥14.26 ¥17.81 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.23 ¥10.95 ¥13.68 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.23 ¥10.31 ¥13.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.27 ¥4.38 ¥6.54 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.1800 ¥0.3000 ¥0.4900 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.49 ¥5.91 ¥7.13 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.99 ¥7.69 ¥10.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥16.28 ¥23.26 ¥30.23 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥23.26) versus Growth DCF (¥0.3000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.4%
Net margin 7.0%
Return on equity 7.9%
Free cash flow 2.2M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 72.6
More key figures
Operating margin 7.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5100
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -21.4%
Net debt 743M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 32
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Fengzhushou Co., Ltd. provides comprehensive operation service of digital goods and sells hardware in China. The company offers mobile Internet digital goods aggregation operation, fusion operation, and distribution operation services; various digital commodity services including communication services, membership recharge, e-commerce shopping cards, …

Full company description

Fengzhushou Co., Ltd. provides comprehensive operation service of digital goods and sells hardware in China. The company offers mobile Internet digital goods aggregation operation, fusion operation, and distribution operation services; various digital commodity services including communication services, membership recharge, e-commerce shopping cards, vouchers/takeaway coupons, and other mobile applications; Internet card package customization and IoT traffic management platform; PaaS-enabled wireless transmission fusion scheduling product; cloud application; and CPE set-top box. It also develops base station, gateway, meter gas sensor, wireless circuit breaker, and smoke detector and sensor; and parking cloud platform for efficient parking/car search, parking space management, accurate billing, and self-service/non-inductive payment. Fengzhushou Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Guangdong Fengzhushou Network Technology Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Fengzhushou Co., Ltd. in November 2018. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fengzhushou Co reported revenue of ¥2.1B in FY2025 versus ¥715M in FY2021, a compound +30.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥154M in FY2025, compounding +10.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+35.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+33.5%
Revenue +30.8%/yr
FY21 ¥715M
FY22 ¥879M
FY23 ¥1.2B
FY24 ¥1.5B
FY25 ¥2.1B
Net income +10.0%/yr
FY21 ¥105M
FY22 ¥126M
FY23 ¥142M
FY24 ¥134M
FY25 ¥154M

301382 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fengzhushou Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301382

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 72.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.78× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 714.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 50.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 38
PAST 32 · sector 13
HEALTH 93 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 3 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAPS C$12.69 C$16.26 +28%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$173.23 C$20.54 -88%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $72.67 $51.11 -30%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $230.61 $379.48 +65%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $241.92 $177.51 -27%
Intuit Inc INTU $291.09 $258.69 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fengzhushou Co (301382) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.17 versus a price of ¥40.90, about −78% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301382?
Our model-based fair value for Fengzhushou Co is ¥9.17 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥40.90.
What is the quality score of 301382?
Fengzhushou Co has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fengzhushou Co (301382)?
Fengzhushou Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301382?
The net profit margin of Fengzhushou Co is about 7.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Fengzhushou Co pay a dividend?
Fengzhushou Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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