Oriental Holdings (4006) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · MY · Market cap 4.2B MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 20, 2026, revised from 9.63 MYR to 9.64 MYR (+0.1%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price +1.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 40% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (7.23 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3.72 MYR – 7.35 MYR · fair‑value band 7.23 MYR – 12.05 MYR · the 6.90 MYR price screens below the 9.64 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Oriental Holdings (4006) currently trades at 6.90 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.64 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 39.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Oriental Holdings generated revenue of 5.4B MYR at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue declined 21.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.0B MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 7.23 MYR (bear case) to 12.05 MYR (bull case); at 6.90 MYR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 40%, 4006 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (14.58 MYR) versus Earnings-Based (3.58 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Oriental Holdings Berhad engages in the automotive and related products business. The Automotive and Related Products segment is involved in the retail and distribution of motor vehicles; manufacture of engines, seats, and other related parts; and trading of spare parts, accessories, and related component parts.
Full company description
Oriental Holdings Berhad engages in the automotive and related products business. The Automotive and Related Products segment is involved in the retail and distribution of motor vehicles; manufacture of engines, seats, and other related parts; and trading of spare parts, accessories, and related component parts. The Plastic Products segment engages in the manufacture, assembly, and distribution of plastic component parts; and manufacture of plastic technical and industrial goods and equipment. The Hotels and Resorts segment operates hotels and resorts. The Plantation segment is involved in the cultivation of oil palm. The Healthcare segment engages in the medical center and day care, nursing college, and integrated lifestyle retail pharmacy businesses. The Investment Properties and Trading of Building Material Products segment is involved in property development; manufacture of wire netting, wire mesh, barbed wire, weld mesh, nails, and building materials; distribution of cement; and manufacturing and dealing of concrete products. It also engages in manufacture and sale of molds for plastic parts and plastic molded parts for electrical, electronics, and automotive industries; provision of advertising, marketing, and central reservation services; management consultancy services; and manufacture and sale of polypropylene compounds. In addition, the company is involved in granting of loans; manufacture and distribution of plastic articles and products; manufacture and repair of molds, jigs, and fixtures; designing, research and development, manufacturing, and sale of plastic and automotive interior parts; and design, manufacture, and sale of prototype plastic models. It operates in Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, Brunei, Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, Mauritius, Thailand, and the People's Republic of China. Oriental Holdings Berhad was incorporated in 1963 and is headquartered in Penang, Malaysia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Oriental Holdings reported revenue of 5.7B MYR in FY2025 versus 3.3B MYR in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was 270M MYR in FY2025, compounding −4.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $70.38 | $24.58 | -65% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $202.66 | $241.86 | +19% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 476.50 TWD | 576.75 TWD | +21% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $58.47 | $29.62 | -49% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $339.16 | $610.95 | +80% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $205.72 | $329.77 | +60% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $76.89 | $66.27 | -14% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $38.64 | $24.57 | -36% |
| OPENLANE, Inc OPLN | $39.46 | $33.81 | -14% |
| Eagers Automotive Limited APE | A$20.83 | A$17.66 | -15% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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