Arriyadh Development Co (4150) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · SA · Market cap 3.8B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −9.6% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 16.18 SAR – 34.53 SAR · fair‑value band 13.20 SAR – 18.36 SAR · the 16.18 SAR price screens above the 14.41 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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Arriyadh Development Co (4150) currently trades at 16.18 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14.41 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 10.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Arriyadh Development Co generated revenue of 419M SAR at a net margin of 72.8%. Revenue grew 49.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at 18.2M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 13.20 SAR (bear case) to 18.36 SAR (bull case); at 16.18 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at -11%, 4150 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Arriyadh Development Co. leases and manages residential and non-residential properties in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company purchases, sells, manages, and leases land and real estate properties, as well as develops residential and commercial buildings.
Full company description
Arriyadh Development Co. leases and manages residential and non-residential properties in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company purchases, sells, manages, and leases land and real estate properties, as well as develops residential and commercial buildings. It also engages in wholesale and retail of new and used private cars, including ambulances, minibuses, and four-wheel drive vehicles. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Arriyadh Development Co reported revenue of 384M SAR in FY2025 versus 251M SAR in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was 296M SAR in FY2025, compounding −1.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitsubishi Estate Co MITEY | $24.70 | $13.49 | -45% |
| Mitsui Fudosan Co MTSFF | $9.20 | $13.56 | +47% |
| Henderson Land Development Company HLDVF | $3.70 | $2.53 | -32% |
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 131.60 | CHF 44.83 | -66% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 65.00 THB | 105.00 THB | +62% |
| SM Prime Holdings SPHXF | $0.2801 | $0.6700 | +139% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,381 | ₹972.98 | -30% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹1,766 | ₹583.22 | -67% |
| Fastighets AB BALDF | $5.42 | $8.19 | +51% |
| NEPI Rockcastle N.V NRP | €7.80 | €14.07 | +80% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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