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Mitsubishi Estate Co (MITEY) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $30.8B

ME Mitsubishi Estate Co logo Mitsubishi Estate Co MITEY · US
Price$24.91
Fair Value$13.28
Upside-46.7%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.18% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/12)
Moderate moat 53/100
Evidence: High Range $12.03 – $25.38 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $13.49 to $13.28 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −5.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($12.03 to $25.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$33.76 $10.70 Fair Value $13.28 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.70 – $33.76 · fair‑value band $12.03 – $25.38 · the $24.91 price screens above the $13.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Mitsubishi Estate Co (MITEY) currently trades at $24.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.28, implying the stock looks roughly 46.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Mitsubishi Estate Co generated revenue of $1.7T at a net margin of 12.7%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. Net debt stands at $3.3T. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.03 (bear case) to $25.38 (bull case); at $24.91, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -47%, MITEY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $1,905 $2,071 $2,683 61
P/S Multiple $2,496 $3,328 $4,160 58
P/B Multiple $2,496 $3,328 $4,160 55
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit $764.70 $2,469 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $638.71 $2,956 $5,642 41
10Y Revenue Exit $1,314 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $1,362 $3,680 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple $2,496 $3,328 $4,160 58
P/B Multiple $2,496 $3,328 $4,160 55
EV/EBIT $2,589 $4,185 $5,780 53
EV/EBITDA $2,744 $4,391 $6,039 54
EV/Revenue $442.12 $1,574 $2,705 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1,121 $1,502 $2,242 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1,905 $2,071 $2,683 61

Widest divergence: Multiples ($3,328) versus DCF Models ($1,362). Highest evidence: Residual Income (61).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.7T
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.8%
Net margin 12.7%
Return on equity 8.4%
Free cash flow $8.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 22.6
More key figures
Operating margin 19.1%
EPS (TTM) $1.13
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -18.7%
Net debt $3.3T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Mitsubishi Estate Co., Ltd. engages in the real estate activities in Japan and internationally. The company develops, leases, manages, and sells office buildings and commercial facilities; operates rental offices, coworking space, virtual offices, hourly meeting rooms, home delivery storage service, commercial nursing homes, and building garages; offers …

Full company description

Mitsubishi Estate Co., Ltd. engages in the real estate activities in Japan and internationally. The company develops, leases, manages, and sells office buildings and commercial facilities; operates rental offices, coworking space, virtual offices, hourly meeting rooms, home delivery storage service, commercial nursing homes, and building garages; offers real estate management, as well as building management services, such as security, facility management, cleaning, and planting services; and operates hotels and airports. It also engages in the construction, sales, management, and leasing of developed condominiums and residential houses; design and contract construction of custom-built houses; renovation and sales of condominiums; real estate brokerage; dark fiber leasing and data center housing business; provision of real estate investment, such as asset management services to investment corporations and real estate funds; architectural design and engineering business; cooling and heating supply business; delivery and takeout; and parking management business. In addition, the company leases, operates, and manages logistics facilities; sells gasoline products; purchases, manufactures, processes, and sells construction materials; constructs prefabricated housing using cross-laminated timber and laminated wood; constructs, manufactures, and sells furniture and household items; offers financial consulting and investment advisory services; and develops and manages information systems and software. Further, it plans, develops, and operates GYYM, a platform service for fitness facilities; Ele-Cinema, an elevator projection type media solution; and Machi Pass FACE, a collaboration platform that enables facial recognition services. Additionally, the company offers human resources, land management, and landscaping services. Mitsubishi Estate Co., Ltd. was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Mitsubishi Estate Co reported revenue of $1.9T in FY2026 versus $1.3T in FY2022, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was $236B in FY2026, compounding +11.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.9T
Latest YoY
+17.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+4.2%
Revenue +8.2%/yr
FY22 $1.3T
FY23 $1.4T
FY24 $1.5T
FY25 $1.6T
FY26 $1.9T
Net income +11.0%/yr
FY22 $155B
FY23 $165B
FY24 $168B
FY25 $189B
FY26 $236B

MITEY screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Swiss Prime Site AG →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mitsubishi Estate Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MITEY

Peer Group

Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −47% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Below median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.08× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.47× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 46
FUTURE 4 · sector 33
PAST 34 · sector 17
HEALTH 46 · sector 75
DIVIDEND 24 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mitsubishi Estate Co (MITEY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.28 versus a price of $24.91, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MITEY?
Our model-based fair value for Mitsubishi Estate Co is $13.28 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $24.91.
What is the quality score of MITEY?
Mitsubishi Estate Co has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Mitsubishi Estate Co (MITEY)?
Mitsubishi Estate Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7T (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MITEY?
The net profit margin of Mitsubishi Estate Co is about 12.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Mitsubishi Estate Co pay a dividend?
Mitsubishi Estate Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.18% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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