Sime Darby Bhd (4197) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Sime Darby Bhd MYR 6.65, price MYR 2.46, upside +170.3%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.49 MYR – 2.65 MYR · fair‑value band 4.99 MYR – 8.32 MYR · the 2.46 MYR price screens below the 6.65 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Sime Darby Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, provides automotive and industrial equipment in Malaysia, China, Australasia, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Industrial, Motors, UMW, and Others segments.
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Sime Darby Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, provides automotive and industrial equipment in Malaysia, China, Australasia, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Industrial, Motors, UMW, and Others segments. The company sells new and used heavy equipment sales and power systems; equipment rental; other rental services; product support; industrial solutions; and distributes Caterpillar products for resources, infrastructure, maritime, power generation, oil and gas, material handling, and agriculture companies. It also offers vehicle importation and assembly; vehicle rental; distribution and retail; and after-sales services for end consumers, corporate fleet clients, automotive dealers, rental customers, and brand principals. In addition, the company engages in vehicle manufacturing and distribution; material handling and marine equipment services; production of automotive parts and lubricants; and manufacture and supply of aero fan cases for automotive consumers, industry players, industrial, and aerospace markets. Further, it is involved in insurance broking and other general investments; marketing, installation, rental, and servicing of security products; vocational training programmes; designing and manufacturing of heat exchangers, radiators, process equipment modules, filters, and separators; sale and distribution of lift trucks and spare parts; technology hardware and software for heavy and highway construction applications; distribution of Perkins engine products; chroming and hydraulic repairs; labour hire/contracting; and property holding and investment. The company was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Sime Darby Bhd (4197) currently trades at 2.46 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6.65 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 63.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 8.24 MYR per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the 2.46 MYR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 1.86 MYR, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 4.99 MYR (bear) to 8.32 MYR (bull), the price of 2.46 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Sime Darby Bhd reported revenue of 70.1B MYR in FY2025 versus 44.5B MYR in FY2021, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was 2.1B MYR in FY2025, compounding +9.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 16.8B MYR (≈ $4.1B) · P/E ratio 7.7 · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) 0.3200 MYR · Dividend yield 5.3% · Net margin 2.9% · Return on equity 11.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 170%, 4197 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 4.99 MYRFair Value 6.65 MYRBull 8.32 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1900 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.8% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+22.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.17% vs −3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−16.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −17.7% a year for the price and −0.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 116 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+165% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.24× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sime Darby Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4197
Frequently asked questions
Is Sime Darby Bhd (4197) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6.65 MYR versus a price of 2.46 MYR, about +170% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4197?
Our model-based fair value for Sime Darby Bhd is 6.65 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.46 MYR.
What is the quality score of 4197?
Sime Darby Bhd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 6.65 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4.99 MYR, optimistic scenario 8.32 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sime Darby Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 6.65 MYR, about +170% upside versus a price of 2.46 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 4.99 MYR, optimistic scenario 8.32 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
Sime Darby Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 70.5B MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sime Darby Bhd pay a dividend?
Sime Darby Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.28% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sime Darby Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by -16.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4197 use?
Our models discount Sime Darby Bhd at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.12, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sime Darby Bhd that is -16.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sime Darby Bhd (4197) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sime Darby Bhd grew +13.7 % a year. The price currently implies -16.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sime Darby Bhd (4197) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sime Darby Bhd (-16.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 25.08 %: that much free cash flow Sime Darby Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sime Darby Bhd it is 6.65 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 2.46 MYR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sime Darby Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4197 trades below its calculated fair value: price 2.46 MYR, fair value 6.65 MYR, a gap of about +170% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4197?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.46 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (6.65 MYR). For Sime Darby Bhd the two are 4.19 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sime Darby Bhd worth?
The market values Sime Darby Bhd at about 16.8B MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 2.46 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 6.65 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4197?
Our models span a range for Sime Darby Bhd: cautious scenario 4.99 MYR, base 6.65 MYR, optimistic 8.32 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 2.46 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4197?
Sime Darby Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 6.65 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 4.0, P/B 0.2, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 1.8.
What is the PEG ratio of 4197?
The PEG ratio of Sime Darby Bhd is 4.02 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sime Darby Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.0%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4197 from its 52-week high?
Sime Darby Bhd trades at 2.46 MYR, about 7% below its 52-week high of 2.65 MYR and 33% above the low of 1.86 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 6.65 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sime Darby Bhd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, Hyundai Motor Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sime Darby Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 2.46 MYR, calculated fair value 6.65 MYR (+170%), Quality Score 62/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4197 calculated?
We run Sime Darby Bhd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 6.65 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Sime Darby Bhd currently trades 170 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 2.46 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 6.65 MYR, about +170% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sime Darby Bhd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (4.99 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Sime Darby Bhd (4197) come from?
Earnings per share at Sime Darby Bhd grew −3.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.7 %, EBIT margin −7.2 %, tax rate −0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sime Darby Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
The market capitalisation of Sime Darby Bhd is 16.8B MYR (≈ $4.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sime Darby Bhd is 0.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
Earnings per share at Sime Darby Bhd are 0.3200 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
The dividend yield of Sime Darby Bhd is 5.3% (payout 40.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
The net margin of Sime Darby Bhd is 2.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sime Darby Bhd is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sime Darby Bhd is 6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
The operating margin of Sime Darby Bhd is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
Revenue at Sime Darby Bhd is growing −3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sime Darby Bhd (4197)?
Earnings per share at Sime Darby Bhd are growing +239% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sime Darby Bhd (4197) carry?
The net debt of Sime Darby Bhd is 6.5B MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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