Cherry Trading Co. (4265) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Cherry Trading Co. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
9‑month range 22.03 SAR – 30.16 SAR · fair‑value band 9.93 SAR – 16.55 SAR · the 23.49 SAR price screens above the 13.06 SAR fair value. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Cherry Trading Company engages in the passenger car rental business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through three segments: Lease, Rental, and Used Car Sale.
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Cherry Trading Company engages in the passenger car rental business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through three segments: Lease, Rental, and Used Car Sale. It is involved in the wholesale and retail trade of new and used private cars; car services, maintenance center activities; public fare; school transportation; and real estate management activities for commission. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Cherry Trading Co. (4265) currently trades at 23.49 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.06 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 79.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 80.02 SAR per share, and 2 of the 14 models we run sit above the 23.49 SAR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 6.23 SAR, and 12 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 9.93 SAR (bear) to 16.55 SAR (bull), the price of 23.49 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Cherry Trading Co. reported revenue of 138M SAR in FY2025 versus 88.6M SAR in FY2022, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was 18.9M SAR in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 704M SAR (≈ $187M) · P/E ratio 9.9 · P/S ratio 1.36 · EPS (TTM) 2.37 SAR · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 13.7% · Return on equity 13.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −44%, 4265 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 9.93 SARFair Value 13.06 SARBull 16.55 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.32 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 26%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Rental & Leasing Services · 93 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Cherry Trading Co. (4265) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.06 SAR versus a price of 23.49 SAR, about −44% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4265?
Our model-based fair value for Cherry Trading Co. is 13.06 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 23.49 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4265?
Cherry Trading Co. has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.06 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.93 SAR, optimistic scenario 16.55 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cherry Trading Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.06 SAR, about −44% upside versus a price of 23.49 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.93 SAR, optimistic scenario 16.55 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Cherry Trading Co. pay a dividend?
Cherry Trading Co. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.13% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cherry Trading Co. it is 13.06 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 23.49 SAR. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cherry Trading Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 4265 trades above its calculated fair value: price 23.49 SAR, fair value 13.06 SAR, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4265?
No. The price is what the market pays today (23.49 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.06 SAR). For Cherry Trading Co. the two are 10.43 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cherry Trading Co. worth?
The market values Cherry Trading Co. at about 704M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 23.49 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 13.06 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4265?
Our models span a range for Cherry Trading Co.: cautious scenario 9.93 SAR, base 13.06 SAR, optimistic 16.55 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 23.49 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4265?
Cherry Trading Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.9 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 13.06 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 2.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cherry Trading Co. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 13.1%, debt of 0.90 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4265 from its 52-week high?
Cherry Trading Co. trades at 23.49 SAR, about 24% below its 52-week high of 31.02 SAR and 7% above the low of 21.92 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.06 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cherry Trading Co.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Rentals, Inc, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, AerCap Holdings, U-Haul Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cherry Trading Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 23.49 SAR, calculated fair value 13.06 SAR (−44%), Quality Score 32/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4265 calculated?
We run Cherry Trading Co. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 13.06 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Cherry Trading Co. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Cherry Trading Co. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (16.55 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Cherry Trading Co.
How large is the market capitalisation of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
The market capitalisation of Cherry Trading Co. is 704M SAR (≈ $187M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cherry Trading Co. is 1.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
Earnings per share at Cherry Trading Co. are 2.37 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
The dividend yield of Cherry Trading Co. is 2.1% (payout 21.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
The net margin of Cherry Trading Co. is 13.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cherry Trading Co. is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cherry Trading Co. is 6.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
The operating margin of Cherry Trading Co. is 22.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
Revenue at Cherry Trading Co. is growing +45.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
Earnings per share at Cherry Trading Co. are growing +18.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cherry Trading Co. (4265) generate?
The free cash flow of Cherry Trading Co. is −32.0M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Cherry Trading Co. (4265) carry?
The net debt of Cherry Trading Co. is 793M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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