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Cherry Trading Company (4265) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SA · Market cap 688M SAR

CT Cherry Trading Company 4265 · SR
Price23.48 SAR
Fair Value13.24 SAR
Upside-43.6%
Quality33/100
Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.1% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
2.19% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 59/100
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Evidence: High Range 9.93 SAR – 16.55 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated today

Share price −2.0% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (16.55 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (8 months)

30.16 SAR 22.03 SAR Fair Value 13.24 SAR Dec 2025 Jul 2026

8‑month range 22.03 SAR – 30.16 SAR · fair‑value band 9.93 SAR – 16.55 SAR · the 23.48 SAR price screens above the 13.24 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Cherry Trading Company (4265) currently trades at 23.48 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.24 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 43.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cherry Trading Company generated revenue of 564M SAR at a net margin of 13.1%. Revenue grew 45.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. Net debt stands at 793M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 9.93 SAR (bear case) to 16.55 SAR (bull case); at 23.48 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -44%, 4265 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 564M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +45.6%
Net margin 13.1%
Return on equity 13.1%
Free cash flow −32.0M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 9.7
More key figures
Operating margin 22.8%
EPS (TTM) 2.37 SAR
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +18.9%
Net debt 793M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100
Profitability 23
Quality Growth 41
Cashflow 0
Fin. Strength 17
Investment 28
Low Volatility 55
Momentum 23
52W Momentum 20
Net Issuance 82

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cherry Trading Company engages in the passenger car rental business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through three segments: Lease, Rental, and Used Car Sale.

Full company description

Cherry Trading Company engages in the passenger car rental business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through three segments: Lease, Rental, and Used Car Sale. It is involved in the wholesale and retail trade of new and used private cars; car services, maintenance center activities; public fare; school transportation; and real estate management activities for commission. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cherry Trading Company reported revenue of 138M SAR in FY2025 versus 88.6M SAR in FY2022, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was 18.9M SAR in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +15.9%/yr
FY22 88.6M SAR
FY23 116M SAR
FY24 122M SAR
FY25 138M SAR
Net income +5.8%/yr
FY22 16.0M SAR
FY23 15.2M SAR
FY24 16.8M SAR
FY25 18.9M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cherry Trading Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4265

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 53
FUTURE 100 / 21
PAST 52 / 26
HEALTH 55 / 68
DIVIDEND 44 / 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Rentals, Inc URI $1,056 $331.29 -69%
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB $76.43 $38.17 -50%
AerCap Holdings AER $136.44 $309.54 +127%
Ayvens ALLDF $14.00 $15.48 +11%
Ryder System, Inc R $265.22 $154.15 -42%
Localiza Rent a Car S.A RENT3 R$41.78 R$37.33 -11%
Element Fleet Management Corp EFN C$26.79 C$13.26 -51%
BOC Aviation Limited 2588 HK$79.55 HK$18.61 -77%
Avis Budget Group CAR 3,438 MXN 827.94 MXN -76%
SIX3 SIX3 €62.30 €42.38 -32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cherry Trading Company (4265) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.24 SAR versus a price of 23.48 SAR, about −44% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4265?
Our model-based fair value for Cherry Trading Company is 13.24 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 23.48 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4265?
Cherry Trading Company has a Quality Score of 33/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Cherry Trading Company (4265)?
Cherry Trading Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 564M SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4265?
The net profit margin of Cherry Trading Company is about 13.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cherry Trading Company pay a dividend?
Cherry Trading Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.19% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 31, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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