Cherry Trading Co. (4265) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cherry Trading Co. stock SAR 13.06, price SAR 20.04, upside -34.8%, quality 31 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?No
Quality 50+?No
In an uptrend?Unknown
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
11‑month range 18.14 SAR – 30.16 SAR · fair‑value band 9.93 SAR – 16.55 SAR · the 20.04 SAR price screens above the 13.06 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 28, 2026.
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Cherry Trading Company engages in the passenger car rental business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through three segments: Lease, Rental, and Used Car Sale.
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It is involved in the wholesale and retail trade of new and used private cars; car services, maintenance center activities; public fare; school transportation; and real estate management activities for commission. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Cherry Trading Co. (4265) currently trades at 20.04 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.06 SAR, 34.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 122.59 SAR per share, and 4 of the 13 models we run sit above the 20.04 SAR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 5.04 SAR, and 9 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 9.93 SAR (bear) to 16.55 SAR (bull), the price of 20.04 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Cherry Trading Co. reported revenue of 138M SAR in FY2025 versus 88.6M SAR in FY2022, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was 18.9M SAR in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 595M SAR (≈ $159M) Micro · P/E ratio 8.1 · P/S ratio 0.97 · EPS (TTM) 2.46 SAR · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 12.0% · Return on equity 12.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −35%, 4265 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear9.93 SARFair Value 13.06 SARBull16.55 SAR
Price 20.04 SAR · Upside -34.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.62 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 26%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Rental & Leasing Services · 89 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Cherry Trading Co. (4265) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.06 SAR versus a price of 20.04 SAR, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4265?
Our model-based fair value for Cherry Trading Co. is 13.06 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 20.04 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4265?
Cherry Trading Co. has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.06 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.93 SAR, optimistic scenario 16.55 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cherry Trading Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.06 SAR, about −35% upside versus a price of 20.04 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.93 SAR, optimistic scenario 16.55 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Cherry Trading Co. pay a dividend?
Cherry Trading Co. currently shows a dividend yield of 2.50% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cherry Trading Co. it is 13.06 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 20.04 SAR. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cherry Trading Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 4265 trades above its calculated fair value: price 20.04 SAR, fair value 13.06 SAR, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4265?
No. The price is what the market pays today (20.04 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.06 SAR). For Cherry Trading Co. the two are 6.98 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cherry Trading Co. worth?
The market values Cherry Trading Co. at about 595M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 20.04 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 13.06 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4265?
Our models span a range for Cherry Trading Co.: cautious scenario 9.93 SAR, base 13.06 SAR, optimistic 16.55 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 20.04 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4265?
Cherry Trading Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.1 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 13.06 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cherry Trading Co. (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 12.8%, debt of 0.90 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4265 from its 52-week high?
Cherry Trading Co. trades at 20.04 SAR, about 34% below its 52-week high of 30.16 SAR and 10% above the low of 18.14 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.06 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cherry Trading Co.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Rentals, Inc, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, AerCap Holdings, U-Haul Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cherry Trading Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 20.04 SAR, calculated fair value 13.06 SAR (−35%), Quality Score 31/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4265 calculated?
We run Cherry Trading Co. through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 13.06 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Cherry Trading Co. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 20.04 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 13.06 SAR, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cherry Trading Co. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (16.55 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Cherry Trading Co.
How large is the market capitalisation of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
The market capitalisation of Cherry Trading Co. is 595M SAR (≈ $159M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cherry Trading Co. is 0.97 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
Earnings per share at Cherry Trading Co. are 2.46 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
The dividend yield of Cherry Trading Co. is 2.5% (payout 20.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
The net margin of Cherry Trading Co. is 12.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cherry Trading Co. is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cherry Trading Co. is 6.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
The operating margin of Cherry Trading Co. is 19.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
Revenue at Cherry Trading Co. is growing +39.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cherry Trading Co. (4265)?
Earnings per share at Cherry Trading Co. are growing −1.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cherry Trading Co. (4265) generate?
The free cash flow of Cherry Trading Co. is −32.0M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Cherry Trading Co. (4265) carry?
The net debt of Cherry Trading Co. is 793M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 28, 2026