Arabian Centres Company (4321) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · SA · Market cap 7.4B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price −8.9% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (23.63 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 15.57 SAR – 22.67 SAR · fair‑value band 23.63 SAR – 31.07 SAR · the 15.57 SAR price screens below the 29.50 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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Arabian Centres Company (4321) currently trades at 15.57 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 29.50 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 89.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Arabian Centres Company generated revenue of 2.3B SAR at a net margin of 55.2%. Revenue declined 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.2%. Net debt stands at 19.5B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 23.63 SAR (bear case) to 31.07 SAR (bull case); at 15.57 SAR, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -4% fair-value upside, at 89%, 4321 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Arabian Centres Company engages in the operation and management of commercial centres, tourist resorts, hotels, and restaurants in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Full company description
Arabian Centres Company engages in the operation and management of commercial centres, tourist resorts, hotels, and restaurants in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It is involved in the purchase lands; build, develop, and invest in buildings; sell or lease of buildings and the construction of commercial buildings, including demolition, repair, excavation, and maintenance works; operates and manages temporary and permanent exhibitions, compounds, and hospitals. Arabian Centres Company was founded in 2002 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Arabian Centres Company reported revenue of 2.3B SAR in FY2026 versus 2.0B SAR in FY2022, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B SAR in FY2026, compounding +30.5%/yr from FY2022.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitsubishi Estate Co MITEY | $24.70 | $13.49 | -45% |
| Mitsui Fudosan Co MTSFF | $9.20 | $10.98 | +19% |
| Henderson Land Development Company HLDVF | $3.70 | $2.53 | -32% |
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 131.60 | CHF 44.83 | -66% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 65.00 THB | 105.00 THB | +62% |
| SM Prime Holdings SPHXF | $0.2801 | $0.6700 | +139% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,381 | ₹972.98 | -30% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹1,766 | ₹583.22 | -67% |
| Fastighets AB BALDF | $5.42 | $6.97 | +29% |
| NEPI Rockcastle N.V NRP | €7.50 | €7.18 | -4% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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