4345 Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · Market cap 557M SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated today
Share price +1.8% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.76 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (0.6900 SAR to 2.76 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 4.00 SAR – 4.84 SAR · fair‑value band 0.6900 SAR – 2.76 SAR · the 4.72 SAR price screens above the 0.6900 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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4345 (4345) currently trades at 4.72 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6900 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 85.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, 4345 generated revenue of 102M SAR at a net margin of -20.7%. Revenue declined 70.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.6%. Net debt stands at 644M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.6900 SAR (bear case) to 2.76 SAR (bull case); at 4.72 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -85%, 4345 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
4345 reported revenue of 102M SAR in FY2025 versus 59.0M SAR in FY2021, a compound +14.6%/yr. Reported net income was −21.0M SAR in FY2025.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Property Group SPG | $222.15 | $86.11 | -61% |
| Realty Income Corporation O | $60.24 | $36.12 | -40% |
| Kimco Realty Corporation K1IM34 | R$115.44 | R$20.04 | -83% |
| Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW | €100.30 | €103.95 | +4% |
| CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U | 2.27 SGD | 1.39 SGD | -39% |
| Scentre Group STGPF | $2.65 | $2.31 | -13% |
| Regency Centers Corporation R1EG34 | R$200.95 | R$33.00 | -84% |
| Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 | HK$37.54 | HK$20.88 | -44% |
| Klépierre SA LI | €37.18 | €37.54 | +1% |
| Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT | $120.39 | $65.37 | -46% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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