King House CO., Ltd (4419) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 7.9B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +0.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 78% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.99 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10.74 TWD – 73.90 TWD · fair‑value band 7.25 TWD – 12.99 TWD · the 46.15 TWD price screens above the 10.12 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
King House CO., Ltd (4419) currently trades at 46.15 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.12 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 78.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, King House CO., Ltd generated revenue of 2.7B TWD at a net margin of -8.7%. Revenue grew 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -18.0%. Net debt stands at 271M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 7.25 TWD (bear case) to 12.99 TWD (bull case); at 46.15 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -78%, 4419 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (3.99 TWD) versus Multiples (2.11 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
King House CO., Ltd. engages in restaurant business in Taiwan. It offers hamburgers, and food and beverage services, catering services, comprehensive celebratory services, ready-to-eat meal manufacturing, food processing and manufacturing, and wholesale of general merchandise. The company was formerly known as Ensure Global Corp., Ltd.
Full company description
King House CO., Ltd. engages in restaurant business in Taiwan. It offers hamburgers, and food and beverage services, catering services, comprehensive celebratory services, ready-to-eat meal manufacturing, food processing and manufacturing, and wholesale of general merchandise. The company was formerly known as Ensure Global Corp., Ltd. and changed its name to King House CO., Ltd. in May 2024. King House CO., Ltd. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Tainan City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
King House CO., Ltd reported revenue of 2.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 103M TWD in FY2021, a compound +125.5%/yr. Reported net income was −246M TWD in FY2025.
4419 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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