Tongtai Machine & Tool Co (4526) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TW · Market cap 8.0B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 18.67 TWD to 18.64 TWD (−0.2%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −19.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (16.74 TWD to 31.78 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 12.97 TWD – 44.70 TWD · fair‑value band 16.74 TWD – 31.78 TWD · the 30.40 TWD price screens above the 18.64 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Tongtai Machine & Tool Co (4526) currently trades at 30.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.64 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 38.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tongtai Machine & Tool Co generated revenue of 4.9B TWD at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue declined 29.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. Net debt stands at 3.8B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 16.74 TWD (bear case) to 31.78 TWD (bull case); at 30.40 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -39%, 4526 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (30.99 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (1.94 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tongtai Machine & Tool Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells machine tools, computer components, computer numerical control lathes, and cutting centers in Taiwan, China, rest of Asia, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Equipment Manufacturing, Parts and Components, and Other segments.
Full company description
Tongtai Machine & Tool Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells machine tools, computer components, computer numerical control lathes, and cutting centers in Taiwan, China, rest of Asia, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Equipment Manufacturing, Parts and Components, and Other segments. The company offers vertical, horizontal, 5-axis, 5-axis horizontal, and ultra sonic assisted machining center; tapping center; boring and milling, special purpose, and wheel machine; horizontal and vertical CNC lathe; and multi-tasking machining center. It also provides PCB CNC drilling and routing machines. In addition, it offers picosecond laser processing machines, UV laser marking machines, and UV laser processing machines; ultra-fast laser processing equipment comprising femtosecond laser processing machines and nanosecond ultrafast laser processing machines; and laser processing equipment for semiconductor applications. Further it offers additive manufacturing machines consisting of metal powder direct energy deposition and subtractive manufacturing, metal powder, and metal powder bed fusion machines. Additionally, it is involved in the electrical automation assembly and sales; commodity trading; international trade and re-export trade; investment holding; machine tool sales and repair services; and circuit board manufacturing and trading; and maintenance and after-sales services. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tongtai Machine & Tool Co reported revenue of 5.4B TWD in FY2025 versus 9.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound −13.6%/yr. Reported net income was 459M TWD in FY2025, compounding +27.7%/yr from FY2021.
4526 screens 39% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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