Cayenne Entertainment Technology Co (4946) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · TW · Market cap 752M TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −16.2% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 83/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (63.61 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 31.43 TWD – 257.00 TWD · fair‑value band 41.73 TWD – 63.61 TWD · the 84.20 TWD price screens above the 52.67 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Cayenne Entertainment Technology Co (4946) currently trades at 84.20 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 52.67 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cayenne Entertainment Technology Co generated revenue of 355M TWD at a net margin of 6.9%. It earns a return on equity of 41.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 33.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 41.73 TWD (bear case) to 63.61 TWD (bull case); at 84.20 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -37%, 4946 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (128.63 TWD) versus Asset-Based (4.85 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 84 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cayenne Entertainment Technology Co., Ltd. provides various casual gaming services to online entertainment community in Taiwan. It also offers information software; data processing services, and general advertising services; and game agency services. Cayenne Entertainment Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is based in Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cayenne Entertainment Technology Co reported revenue of 355M TWD in FY2025 versus 41.6M TWD in FY2021, a compound +70.9%/yr. Reported net income was 24.5M TWD in FY2025, compounding +0.0%/yr from FY2021.
4946 screens 37% overvalued. Compare with NetEase, Inc →
Peer Group
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 152 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NetEase, Inc 9999 | HK$202.60 | HK$192.74 | -5% |
| Electronic Arts Inc EA | $207.27 | $76.57 | -63% |
| Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO | $237.04 | $60.45 | -74% |
| Roblox Corporation RBLX | $57.07 | $21.20 | -63% |
| Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 | ¥14.04 | ¥14.68 | +5% |
| KRAFTON, Inc 259960 | 240,500 KRW | 395,557 KRW | +64% |
| Kunlun Tech Co 300418 | ¥44.61 | ¥6.87 | -85% |
| Giant Network Group 002558 | ¥29.98 | ¥15.69 | -48% |
| International Games System Co 3293 | 704.00 TWD | 568.16 TWD | -19% |
| 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 | ¥19.02 | ¥22.29 | +17% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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