LCY Technology Corp (4989) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · TW · Market cap 10.0B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 146.05 TWD to 135.87 TWD (−7.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −26.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 101% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (125.54 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.50 TWD – 116.50 TWD · fair‑value band 125.54 TWD – 151.36 TWD · the 67.50 TWD price screens below the 135.87 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
LCY Technology Corp (4989) currently trades at 67.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 135.87 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 101.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, LCY Technology Corp generated revenue of 3.1B TWD at a net margin of -11.8%. Revenue grew 92.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.3%. Net debt stands at 235M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 125.54 TWD (bear case) to 151.36 TWD (bull case); at 67.50 TWD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 374% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 101%, 4989 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (6.83 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (4.57 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
LCY Technology Corp. manufactures and sells copper foil for the printed circuit board and copper foil substrate industry in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers 4oz, 3oz, 2oz, 1oz, 1/2oz, 1/3oz, and 9µm copper foils, as well as 7µm, ultra-thin, very low-profile, reverse treatment, and very low-profile RTF foils.
Full company description
LCY Technology Corp. manufactures and sells copper foil for the printed circuit board and copper foil substrate industry in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers 4oz, 3oz, 2oz, 1oz, 1/2oz, 1/3oz, and 9µm copper foils, as well as 7µm, ultra-thin, very low-profile, reverse treatment, and very low-profile RTF foils. It also provides high-frequency, high-density, and high-speed materials, as well as precision die-casting solutions. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
LCY Technology Corp reported revenue of 2.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 4.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −12.2%/yr. Reported net income was −480M TWD in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Copper · 60 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Copper Corporation SCCO | $175.66 | $86.74 | -51% |
| Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX | $61.52 | $22.81 | -63% |
| Lundin Mining Corporation LUN | C$34.86 | C$18.67 | -46% |
| Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 | ¥39.03 | ¥35.19 | -10% |
| Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 | ¥5.79 | ¥3.06 | -47% |
| Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM | C$28.58 | C$21.79 | -24% |
| Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 | ¥16.66 | ¥7.00 | -58% |
| Capstone Copper Corp CSC | A$13.06 | A$7.28 | -44% |
| Yunnan Copper Co 000878 | ¥14.32 | ¥9.12 | -36% |
| China Nonferrous Mining Corporation 1258 | HK$14.75 | HK$1.76 | -88% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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