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N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of N R Agarwal Industries Limited ₹176, price ₹664, upside -73.4%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
N R Agarwal Industries Limited
516082 · BSEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ₹176.31 · Strongly overvalued (−73.4%)
!Quality 48/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +28.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.6% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
!Moderate moat 59/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹196.02 – ₹679.00 · fair‑value band ₹101.94 – ₹220.39 · the ₹663.70 price screens above the ₹176.31 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
N R Agarwal Industries Limited develops, manufactures, and sells finished paper products in India. The company offers grey back and white back duplex boards for gravure printing, embossing, and foil stamping; writing and printing papers; and newsprint products.
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N R Agarwal Industries Limited develops, manufactures, and sells finished paper products in India. The company offers grey back and white back duplex boards for gravure printing, embossing, and foil stamping; writing and printing papers; and newsprint products. Its products are primarily used in FMCG packaging, textbooks and notebooks, and print media applications. The company exports its products to approximately 36 countries. N R Agarwal Industries Limited was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082) currently trades at ₹663.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹176.31, 73.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹304.94 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the ₹663.70 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹30.25, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹101.94 (bear) to ₹220.39 (bull), the price of ₹663.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
N R Agarwal Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹16.6B in FY2025 versus ₹11.5B in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹177M in FY2025, compounding −25.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹3.0B (≈ $31.6M) · P/E ratio 3.2 · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) ₹59.62 · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 25.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.5% · Operating margin 14.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 18% fair-value upside, at −73%, 516082 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹101.94
Fair Value ₹176.31
Bull ₹220.39
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹59.62 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
₹317.04
₹299.23
₹296.93
76
FCF DCF
₹79.66
₹306.57
₹655.27
72
Growth DCF
₹81.71
₹300.12
₹629.82
71
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
₹79.66
₹306.57
₹655.27
72
5Y Revenue Exit
n/a
₹149.94
₹356.52
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
₹122.33
₹408.38
₹750.36
70
5Y P/E Exit
n/a
₹5.09
>₹20.36
67
10Y Revenue Exit
₹11.07
₹167.04
₹381.13
58
10Y EBITDA Exit
₹102.79
₹345.81
₹684.73
63
10Y P/E Exit
n/a
₹66.84
₹183.33
61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹70.52
₹257.78
₹347.91
64
Lynch FV
₹61.42
₹87.74
₹114.06
61
PEG = 1.0
₹61.42
₹87.74
₹114.06
57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
₹17.57
₹35.00
₹53.00
67
DDM Multi-Stage
₹17.57
₹30.25
₹36.94
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹132.23
₹176.31
₹220.39
63
P/S Multiple
₹132.23
₹176.31
₹220.39
58
P/B Multiple
₹132.23
₹176.31
₹220.39
55
EV/EBIT
n/a
₹79.56
₹173.07
61
EV/EBITDA
₹194.86
₹357.98
₹521.10
65
EV/Revenue
n/a
₹52.84
₹157.04
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹227.56
₹304.94
₹455.13
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
₹81.71
₹300.12
₹629.82
71
Rev-Margin DCF
n/a
₹151.05
₹346.69
69
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹317.04
₹299.23
₹296.93
76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹101.94
₹145.63
₹189.32
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
48/100
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81
Profitability
32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
91
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−28.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 3%
516082 screens overvalued: fair value 73% below the price. Compare with UPM-Kymmene Oyj →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other · 114 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Other median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €24.85 | €15.50 | −38% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥13.54 | ¥16.93 | +25% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$5.88 | HK$14.06 | +139% |
| The Navigator Company NVG | €3.21 | €2.08 | −35% |
| PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk INKP | 8,225 IDR | 12,607 IDR | +53% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 975.00 CLP | 1,371 CLP | +41% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥17.74 | ¥18.80 | +6% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 81.05 | kr 49.11 | −39% |
| Semapa - Sociedade de Investimento e Gestão, SGPS, S.A SEM | €19.90 | €23.55 | +18% |
| MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment Co 000815 | ¥14.25 | ¥1.56 | −89% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹176.31 versus a price of ₹663.70, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 516082?
Our model-based fair value for N R Agarwal Industries Limited is ₹176.31 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹663.70.
What is the quality score of 516082?
N R Agarwal Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹176.31 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹101.94, optimistic scenario ₹220.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the N R Agarwal Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹176.31, about −73% upside versus a price of ₹663.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹101.94, optimistic scenario ₹220.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082)?
N R Agarwal Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹11.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For N R Agarwal Industries Limited it is ₹176.31 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹663.70. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is N R Agarwal Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 516082 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹663.70, fair value ₹176.31, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 516082?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹663.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹176.31). For N R Agarwal Industries Limited the two are ₹487.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is N R Agarwal Industries Limited worth?
The market values N R Agarwal Industries Limited at about ₹3.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹663.70; our models calculate a fair value of ₹176.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 516082?
Our models span a range for N R Agarwal Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹101.94, base ₹176.31, optimistic ₹220.39 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹663.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 516082?
N R Agarwal Industries Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹176.31 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 4.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082)?
Balance-sheet figures for N R Agarwal Industries Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 25.4%, debt of 0.65 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 516082 from its 52-week high?
N R Agarwal Industries Limited trades at ₹663.70, about 2% below its 52-week high of ₹679.00 and 69% above the low of ₹393.60 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹176.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to N R Agarwal Industries Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Shandong Sunpaper Co, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited, The Navigator Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is N R Agarwal Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹663.70, calculated fair value ₹176.31 (−73%), Quality Score 48/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 516082 calculated?
We run N R Agarwal Industries Limited through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹176.31, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. N R Agarwal Industries Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹663.70. Our model-based fair value is ₹176.31, about −73% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with N R Agarwal Industries Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹220.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹101.94 to ₹220.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of N R Agarwal Industries Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082)?
The market capitalisation of N R Agarwal Industries Limited is ₹3.0B (≈ $31.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082)?
The price-to-sales ratio of N R Agarwal Industries Limited is 0.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082)?
Earnings per share at N R Agarwal Industries Limited are ₹59.62 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082)?
The net margin of N R Agarwal Industries Limited is 1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082)?
The return on equity (ROE) of N R Agarwal Industries Limited is 25.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of N R Agarwal Industries Limited is 9.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082)?
The operating margin of N R Agarwal Industries Limited is 14.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082)?
Revenue at N R Agarwal Industries Limited is growing −20.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at N R Agarwal Industries Limited (516082)?
Earnings per share at N R Agarwal Industries Limited are growing −30.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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