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Hartalega Holdings (5168) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · MY · Market cap 3.4B MYR

HH Hartalega Holdings 5168 · KLSE
Price0.9800 MYR
Fair Value0.9010 MYR
Upside-8.1%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range 0.6165 MYR – 1.11 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 0.6500 MYR to 0.9010 MYR (+38.6%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −1.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 0.6165 MYR (bear) to 1.11 MYR (bull), base 0.9010 MYR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

9.00 MYR 0.7988 MYR Fair Value 0.9010 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.7988 MYR – 9.00 MYR · fair‑value band 0.6165 MYR – 1.11 MYR · the 0.9800 MYR price screens above the 0.9010 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Hartalega Holdings (5168) currently trades at 0.9800 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.9010 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 8.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hartalega Holdings generated revenue of 2.1B MYR at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue declined 15.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.1B MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.6165 MYR (bear case) to 1.11 MYR (bull case); at 0.9800 MYR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -8%, 5168 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1.04 MYR 1.57 MYR 2.43 MYR 80
Residual Income 0.9100 MYR 0.8900 MYR 0.7100 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.7300 MYR 0.9600 MYR 1.26 MYR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1.05 MYR 1.64 MYR 2.65 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 0.8500 MYR 1.27 MYR 2.00 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.7300 MYR 0.9600 MYR 1.25 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.9200 MYR 1.35 MYR 1.89 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.8100 MYR 1.12 MYR 1.47 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.8300 MYR 1.08 MYR 1.45 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.9600 MYR 1.36 MYR 1.98 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 0.8900 MYR 1.20 MYR 1.63 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.2100 MYR 1.01 MYR 1.40 MYR 54
Lynch FV 0.2700 MYR 0.3900 MYR 0.5100 MYR 50
PEG = 1.0 0.2700 MYR 0.3900 MYR 0.5100 MYR 46
EPV 0.5400 MYR 0.5700 MYR 0.6000 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.03 MYR 2.06 MYR 3.12 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.03 MYR 1.78 MYR 2.18 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.3900 MYR 0.5100 MYR 0.6400 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 0.3900 MYR 0.5100 MYR 0.6400 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 0.3900 MYR 0.5100 MYR 0.6400 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 0.6200 MYR 0.7100 MYR 0.8000 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 0.9000 MYR 1.08 MYR 1.27 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 0.5800 MYR 0.6800 MYR 0.7900 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.6500 MYR 0.8700 MYR 1.30 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.04 MYR 1.57 MYR 2.43 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.7300 MYR 0.9600 MYR 1.26 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.9100 MYR 0.8900 MYR 0.7100 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 0.5400 MYR 0.5700 MYR 0.6000 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.3800 MYR 0.5400 MYR 0.7000 MYR 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (1.78 MYR) versus Earnings-Based (0.3900 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.1B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.7%
Net margin 4.8%
Return on equity 2.3%
Free cash flow 196M MYR FY2026
P/E ratio 33.0
More key figures
Operating margin 9.7%
EPS (TTM) 0.0300 MYR
EPS growth (YoY) +180%
Net cash 1.1B MYR FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hartalega Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, retail, and wholesale of latex and nitrile gloves in Malaysia, North America, Europe, Asia, Australia, the Middle East, and internationally. It is involved in the leasing of properties; and research and development of automation systems.

Full company description

Hartalega Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, retail, and wholesale of latex and nitrile gloves in Malaysia, North America, Europe, Asia, Australia, the Middle East, and internationally. It is involved in the leasing of properties; and research and development of automation systems. The company offers its products for healthcare, dental, food, industrial, veterinary, tattoo, lifesciences, spa and beauty salon markets. Hartalega Holdings Berhad was founded in 1988 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Hartalega Holdings reported revenue of 2.1B MYR in FY2026 versus 7.9B MYR in FY2022, a compound −27.9%/yr. Reported net income was 103M MYR in FY2026, compounding −57.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
2.1B MYR
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−31.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+18.1%
Revenue −27.9%/yr
FY22 7.9B MYR
FY23 2.4B MYR
FY24 1.8B MYR
FY25 2.6B MYR
FY26 2.1B MYR
Net income −57.8%/yr
FY22 3.2B MYR
FY23 −235M MYR
FY24 12.5M MYR
FY25 74.5M MYR
FY26 103M MYR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hartalega Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5168

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −8% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth -16% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.39× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.63× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 23 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 9 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hartalega Holdings (5168) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.9010 MYR versus a price of 0.9800 MYR, about −8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 5168?
Our model-based fair value for Hartalega Holdings is 0.9010 MYR (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.9800 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5168?
Hartalega Holdings has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hartalega Holdings (5168)?
Hartalega Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5168?
The net profit margin of Hartalega Holdings is about 4.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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