Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Hartalega Holdings Bhd MYR 1.31, price MYR 1.12, upside +17.1%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.7988 MYR – 7.98 MYR · the 1.12 MYR price screens below the 1.31 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Hartalega Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, retail, and wholesale of latex and nitrile gloves in Malaysia, North America, Europe, Asia, Australia, the Middle East, and internationally. It is involved in the leasing of properties; and research and development of automation systems.
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Hartalega Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, retail, and wholesale of latex and nitrile gloves in Malaysia, North America, Europe, Asia, Australia, the Middle East, and internationally. It is involved in the leasing of properties; and research and development of automation systems. The company offers its products for healthcare, dental, food, industrial, veterinary, tattoo, lifesciences, spa and beauty salon markets. Hartalega Holdings Berhad was founded in 1988 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168) currently trades at 1.12 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.31 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 14.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 1.78 MYR per share, and 8 of the 26 models we run sit above the 1.12 MYR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.3900 MYR, and 18 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2026: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2026.
Hartalega Holdings Bhd reported revenue of 2.1B MYR in FY2026 versus 7.9B MYR in FY2022, a compound −27.9%/yr. Reported net income was 103M MYR in FY2026, compounding −57.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 3.8B MYR (≈ $937M) · P/E ratio 37.3 · P/S ratio 1.80 · EPS (TTM) 0.0300 MYR · Dividend yield 11.9% · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 17%, 5168 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.31 MYRFair Value 1.31 MYRBull 1.31 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0145 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2026: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2026.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−31.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.5% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−41.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−53.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)11.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−49% vs −9%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.57% → 4%
2026 sits 137% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.6% a year for the price and +4.8% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 706 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+17% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−16% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)11.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hartalega Holdings Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5168
Frequently asked questions
Is Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.31 MYR versus a price of 1.12 MYR, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5168?
Our model-based fair value for Hartalega Holdings Bhd is 1.31 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.12 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5168?
Hartalega Holdings Bhd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.31 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hartalega Holdings Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.31 MYR, about +17% upside versus a price of 1.12 MYR (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
Hartalega Holdings Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Hartalega Holdings Bhd pay a dividend?
Hartalega Holdings Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.90% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hartalega Holdings Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +5.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -20.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5168 use?
Our models discount Hartalega Holdings Bhd at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hartalega Holdings Bhd that is +5.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hartalega Holdings Bhd grew -20.5 % a year. The price currently implies +5.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hartalega Holdings Bhd (+5.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.13 %: that much free cash flow Hartalega Holdings Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hartalega Holdings Bhd it is 1.31 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 1.12 MYR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hartalega Holdings Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 5168 trades below its calculated fair value: price 1.12 MYR, fair value 1.31 MYR, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5168?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.12 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.31 MYR). For Hartalega Holdings Bhd the two are 0.1920 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hartalega Holdings Bhd worth?
The market values Hartalega Holdings Bhd at about 3.8B MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 1.12 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 1.31 MYR per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 5168?
Hartalega Holdings Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.31 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.6, P/B 0.2, P/S 0.4.
What is the PEG ratio of 5168?
The PEG ratio of Hartalega Holdings Bhd is 0.63 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hartalega Holdings Bhd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5168 from its 52-week high?
Hartalega Holdings Bhd trades at 1.12 MYR, about 16% below its 52-week high of 1.33 MYR and 40% above the low of 0.7988 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.31 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hartalega Holdings Bhd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hartalega Holdings Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 1.12 MYR, calculated fair value 1.31 MYR (+17%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5168 calculated?
We run Hartalega Holdings Bhd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.31 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Hartalega Holdings Bhd currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1.12 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 1.31 MYR, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hartalega Holdings Bhd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.31 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168) come from?
Earnings per share at Hartalega Holdings Bhd grew −14.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.8 %, EBIT margin −19.8 %, tax rate +2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hartalega Holdings Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
The market capitalisation of Hartalega Holdings Bhd is 3.8B MYR (≈ $937M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hartalega Holdings Bhd is 1.80 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
Earnings per share at Hartalega Holdings Bhd are 0.0300 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
The dividend yield of Hartalega Holdings Bhd is 11.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
The net margin of Hartalega Holdings Bhd is 4.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hartalega Holdings Bhd is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hartalega Holdings Bhd is 14.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
The operating margin of Hartalega Holdings Bhd is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
Revenue at Hartalega Holdings Bhd is growing −15.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168)?
Earnings per share at Hartalega Holdings Bhd are growing +180% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Hartalega Holdings Bhd (5168) hold?
Hartalega Holdings Bhd holds more cash than debt, 1.1B MYR net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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