Cyberlink Co (5203) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Cyberlink Co TWD 43.48, price TWD 58.30, upside -25.4%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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CyberLink Corp., a multimedia software and AI facial recognition technology company, develops, designs, and sells video entertainment and media creation software in Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, the United States, and Southeast Asia.
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CyberLink Corp., a multimedia software and AI facial recognition technology company, develops, designs, and sells video entertainment and media creation software in Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, the United States, and Southeast Asia. It offers software for video and photo editing, multimedia playback, file conversion, online chat, and mobile; video editing software and plug-ins for creative control; digital marketing; and software solutions for desktop recording, webcam capture, and livestreaming. The company also provides solutions for burning, backup, and media conversion needs; and apps for video and photo editing, as well as digital marketing. In addition, it offers digital content creation, video conferencing, live casting, and mobile application solutions. The company serves consumer, commercial, and education markets. CyberLink Corp. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Cyberlink Co (5203) currently trades at 58.30 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 43.48 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 34.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 77.86 TWD per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the 58.30 TWD price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 12.14 TWD, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 28.71 TWD (bear) to 58.76 TWD (bull), the price of 58.30 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Cyberlink Co reported revenue of 2.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was 287M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 5.1B TWD (≈ $160M) · P/E ratio 16.4 · P/S ratio 1.92 · EPS (TTM) 3.55 TWD · Dividend yield 6.2% · Net margin 11.7% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −25%, 5203 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 28.71 TWDFair Value 43.48 TWDBull 58.76 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2% vs −4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 721 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−25% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)16.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.10× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)2.06× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF2.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA12.0× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)12· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)24· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cyberlink Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5203
Frequently asked questions
Is Cyberlink Co (5203) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 43.48 TWD versus a price of 58.30 TWD, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5203?
Our model-based fair value for Cyberlink Co is 43.48 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 58.30 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5203?
Cyberlink Co has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cyberlink Co (5203)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 43.48 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 28.71 TWD, optimistic scenario 58.76 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cyberlink Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 43.48 TWD, about −25% upside versus a price of 58.30 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 28.71 TWD, optimistic scenario 58.76 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cyberlink Co (5203)?
Cyberlink Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Cyberlink Co pay a dividend?
Cyberlink Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cyberlink Co (5203)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cyberlink Co would have to grow free cash flow by +24.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5203 use?
Our models discount Cyberlink Co at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.29, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cyberlink Co that is +24.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cyberlink Co (5203) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cyberlink Co grew +8.4 % a year. The price currently implies +24.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cyberlink Co (5203) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cyberlink Co (+24.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cyberlink Co (5203)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.63 %: that much free cash flow Cyberlink Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cyberlink Co (5203)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cyberlink Co it is 43.48 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 58.30 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cyberlink Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5203 trades above its calculated fair value: price 58.30 TWD, fair value 43.48 TWD, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5203?
No. The price is what the market pays today (58.30 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (43.48 TWD). For Cyberlink Co the two are 14.82 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cyberlink Co worth?
The market values Cyberlink Co at about 5.1B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 58.30 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 43.48 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5203?
Our models span a range for Cyberlink Co: cautious scenario 28.71 TWD, base 43.48 TWD, optimistic 58.76 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 58.30 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5203?
Cyberlink Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 43.48 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 12.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cyberlink Co (5203)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cyberlink Co (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.0%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5203 from its 52-week high?
Cyberlink Co trades at 58.30 TWD, about 43% below its 52-week high of 103.00 TWD and 5% above the low of 55.60 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 43.48 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cyberlink Co?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cyberlink Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 58.30 TWD, calculated fair value 43.48 TWD (−25%), Quality Score 68/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5203 calculated?
We run Cyberlink Co through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 43.48 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Cyberlink Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cyberlink Co (5203)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 58.30 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 43.48 TWD, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cyberlink Co right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (28.71 TWD to 58.76 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Cyberlink Co (5203) come from?
Earnings per share at Cyberlink Co grew −4.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.2 %, EBIT margin −11.1 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Cyberlink Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Cyberlink Co (5203)?
The market capitalisation of Cyberlink Co is 5.1B TWD (≈ $160M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cyberlink Co (5203)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cyberlink Co is 1.92 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cyberlink Co (5203)?
Earnings per share at Cyberlink Co are 3.55 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cyberlink Co (5203)?
The dividend yield of Cyberlink Co is 6.2% (payout 101%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cyberlink Co (5203)?
The net margin of Cyberlink Co is 11.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cyberlink Co (5203)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cyberlink Co is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cyberlink Co (5203)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cyberlink Co is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cyberlink Co (5203)?
The operating margin of Cyberlink Co is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cyberlink Co (5203)?
Revenue at Cyberlink Co is growing +2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cyberlink Co (5203)?
Earnings per share at Cyberlink Co are growing +3.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Cyberlink Co (5203) hold?
Cyberlink Co holds more cash than debt, 581M TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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