SENFONG (5308) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of SENFONG MYR 1.26, price MYR 0.70, upside +80.0%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
51‑month range 0.3868 MYR – 1.24 MYR · fair‑value band 0.8800 MYR – 1.63 MYR · the 0.7000 MYR price screens below the 1.26 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Seng Fong Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, manufacturers and sells tyre producers, vehicle parts manufacturers, rubber traders, and industrial rubber in Malaysia, rest of Asia, Europe, and Oceania. The company offers Standard Malaysia Rubber grade and premium grade block rubber.
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Seng Fong Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, manufacturers and sells tyre producers, vehicle parts manufacturers, rubber traders, and industrial rubber in Malaysia, rest of Asia, Europe, and Oceania. The company offers Standard Malaysia Rubber grade and premium grade block rubber. It is also involved in the trade of block rubber, which is sourced from international rubber traders and/or natural rubber processors; and cup lumps into block rubber. The company also exports its products. Seng Fong Holdings Berhad was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Muar, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
SENFONG (5308) currently trades at 0.7000 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.26 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 44.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 2.08 MYR per share, and 21 of the 24 models we run sit above the 0.7000 MYR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.2100 MYR, and 3 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.8800 MYR (bear) to 1.63 MYR (bull), the price of 0.7000 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
SENFONG reported revenue of 1.5B MYR in FY2025 versus 768M MYR in FY2021, a compound +18.0%/yr. Reported net income was 35.1M MYR in FY2025, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 505M MYR (≈ $124M) · P/S ratio 0.41 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity −0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.6% · Operating margin 0.3% · Revenue (TTM) 1.2B MYR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 80%, 5308 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.8800 MYRFair Value 1.26 MYRBull 1.63 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+1.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 4%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−12.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −14.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 709 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+84% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−29% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SENFONG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5308
Frequently asked questions
Is SENFONG (5308) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.26 MYR versus a price of 0.7000 MYR, about +80% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5308?
Our model-based fair value for SENFONG is 1.26 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.7000 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5308?
SENFONG has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SENFONG (5308)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.26 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.8800 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.63 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SENFONG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.26 MYR, about +80% upside versus a price of 0.7000 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.8800 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.63 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SENFONG (5308)?
SENFONG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does SENFONG pay a dividend?
SENFONG currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.43% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into SENFONG (5308)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SENFONG would have to grow free cash flow by -12.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5308 use?
Our models discount SENFONG at 12.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.25, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SENFONG that is -12.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SENFONG (5308) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SENFONG grew +19.3 % a year. The price currently implies -12.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SENFONG (5308) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SENFONG (-12.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SENFONG (5308)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.85 %: that much free cash flow SENFONG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SENFONG (5308)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SENFONG it is 1.26 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.7000 MYR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SENFONG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5308 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.7000 MYR, fair value 1.26 MYR, a gap of about +80% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5308?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.7000 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.26 MYR). For SENFONG the two are 0.5600 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SENFONG worth?
The market values SENFONG at about 505M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.7000 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 1.26 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5308?
Our models span a range for SENFONG: cautious scenario 0.8800 MYR, base 1.26 MYR, optimistic 1.63 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.7000 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SENFONG (5308)?
Balance-sheet figures for SENFONG (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.4%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5308 from its 52-week high?
SENFONG trades at 0.7000 MYR, about 10% below its 52-week high of 0.7786 MYR and 6% above the low of 0.6603 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.26 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SENFONG?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SENFONG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.7000 MYR, calculated fair value 1.26 MYR (+80%), Quality Score 55/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5308 calculated?
We run SENFONG through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.26 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. SENFONG currently trades 80 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SENFONG (5308)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.7000 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 1.26 MYR, about +80% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SENFONG right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.8800 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (0.8800 MYR to 1.63 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of SENFONG
How large is the market capitalisation of SENFONG (5308)?
The market capitalisation of SENFONG is 505M MYR (≈ $124M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SENFONG (5308)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SENFONG is 0.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of SENFONG (5308)?
The dividend yield of SENFONG is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SENFONG (5308)?
The net margin of SENFONG is 2.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SENFONG (5308)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SENFONG is −0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SENFONG (5308)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SENFONG is 18.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SENFONG (5308)?
The operating margin of SENFONG is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SENFONG (5308)?
Revenue at SENFONG is growing −28.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SENFONG (5308)?
Earnings per share at SENFONG are growing −65.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SENFONG (5308) carry?
The net debt of SENFONG is 80.1M MYR (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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