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Agarwal Industrial Corporation (531921) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹887M

AI Agarwal Industrial Corporation 531921 · BSE
Price₹483.35
Fair Value₹129.69
Upside-73.2%
Quality39/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
Low debt
1.85% dividend yield
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range ₹97.27 – ₹162.11 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹162.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Analysis

Agarwal Industrial Corporation (531921) currently trades at ₹483.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹129.69, implying the stock looks roughly 73.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Agarwal Industrial Corporation generated revenue of ₹6.7B at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue declined 43.7% year over year. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 3.6 (as of Aug 18, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹97.27 (bear case) to ₹162.11 (bull case); at ₹483.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at -73%, 531921 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹645.97 ₹903.43 ₹3,372 76
ROIC Compounder ₹1,186 ₹1,736 ₹2,062 72
Gordon GGM ₹33.98 ₹61.24 ₹84.30 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹766.83 ₹5,348 ₹7,505 54
Lynch FV ₹2,076 ₹2,966 ₹3,856 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹2,076 ₹2,966 ₹3,856 46
EPV ₹947.82 ₹1,096 ₹1,220 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹33.98 ₹61.24 ₹84.30 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹33.98 ₹55.94 ₹65.42 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,438 ₹1,917 ₹2,396 63
P/S Multiple ₹1,438 ₹1,917 ₹2,396 58
P/B Multiple ₹1,375 ₹1,834 ₹2,292 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,446 ₹1,975 ₹2,504 53
EV/EBITDA ₹1,343 ₹1,837 ₹2,332 54
EV/Revenue ₹1,235 ₹1,824 ₹2,414 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹305.64 ₹409.56 ₹611.28 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹645.97 ₹903.43 ₹3,372 76
ROIC Compounder ₹1,186 ₹1,736 ₹2,062 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹2,438 ₹3,484 ₹4,529 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹3,484) versus Dividend Discount (₹55.94). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹6.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) -43.7%
Net margin 3.4%
P/E ratio 3.6 as of Aug 18, 2026
Operating margin 5.0%
EPS (TTM) ₹22.43
More key figures
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -38.9%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 24
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 60
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited primarily manufactures and trades in petrochemicals in India. The company operates through Petrochemical Business, Transportation, and Sale of Power segments.

Full company description

Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited primarily manufactures and trades in petrochemicals in India. The company operates through Petrochemical Business, Transportation, and Sale of Power segments. Its products include paving grade bitumen, industrial grade bitumen, viscosity grade bitumen, bitumen emulsions for road construction, crumb rubber modified bitumen, polymer modified bitumen, byproducts/waterproofing materials, bituminious felts, bituminous expansion jointing boards, bitumen coats and paints, bitumen insulation materials, bitubonds, bituplasts, bituminous blacks, bitukotes, bitupremier, cable compounds, etc. The company also transports bulk bitumen and bulk LPG; and generates power through windmills, as well as imports and stores bitumen. The company was formerly known as Bombay Baroda Roadways (India) Limited and changed its name to Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited in March 2008. Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Agarwal Industrial Corporation reported revenue of ₹24.0B in FY2025 versus ₹9.0B in FY2021, a compound +27.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.2B in FY2025, compounding +30.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹24.0B
Latest YoY
+12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.1%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.4%
Revenue +27.6%/yr
FY21 ₹9.0B
FY22 ₹16.0B
FY23 ₹20.2B
FY24 ₹21.3B
FY25 ₹24.0B
Net income +30.0%/yr
FY21 ₹405M
FY22 ₹637M
FY23 ₹923M
FY24 ₹1.1B
FY25 ₹1.2B

531921 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Agarwal Industrial Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/531921

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 672 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth -44% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $479.43 $222.03 -54%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥75.06 ¥68.03 -9%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 416.10 kr 170.02 -59%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,756 ₹664.51 -76%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,730 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,702 ₹351.84 -79%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 2,160 IDR 2,322 IDR +8%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹559.80 ₹154.46 -72%
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM ₹4,566 ₹836.47 -82%
Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited HSCL ₹778.15 ₹248.63 -68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Agarwal Industrial Corporation (531921) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹129.69 versus a price of ₹483.35, about −73% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 531921?
Our model-based fair value for Agarwal Industrial Corporation is ₹129.69 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹483.35.
What is the quality score of 531921?
Agarwal Industrial Corporation has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Agarwal Industrial Corporation (531921)?
Agarwal Industrial Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹6.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 531921?
The net profit margin of Agarwal Industrial Corporation is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Agarwal Industrial Corporation pay a dividend?
Agarwal Industrial Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.85% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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