Rich Development Co (5512) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · TW · Market cap 6.0B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −1.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.31 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6.75 TWD – 14.70 TWD · fair‑value band 1.99 TWD – 3.31 TWD · the 7.81 TWD price screens above the 2.65 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Rich Development Co (5512) currently trades at 7.81 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.65 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 66.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Rich Development Co generated revenue of 7.0B TWD at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue declined 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at 17.7B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.99 TWD (bear case) to 3.31 TWD (bull case); at 7.81 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -66%, 5512 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (11.93 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (4.15 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Rich Development Co., Ltd. engages in the construction business. The company operates through the Construction Sector, Wastewater Treatment Sector, and Tourist Hotel Department segments.
Full company description
Rich Development Co., Ltd. engages in the construction business. The company operates through the Construction Sector, Wastewater Treatment Sector, and Tourist Hotel Department segments. It is involved in the leasing and sale of residential buildings; construction of commercial buildings; construction of sewage treatment plants and operation of sewage treatment projects; and operation of tourist hotels and travel agency, etc. The company also plans and builds energy storage systems; and engages in water treatment engineering, piping engineering, and wastewater treatment activities, as well as the wholesale of pollution control equipment. In addition, it engages in waste disposal and renewable energy self-generating equipment business; general hotel management, waste cleaning, environmental protection engineering, industrial wastewater treatment, environmental hygiene, pollution prevention, and other activities; power generation through renewable energy; investment in various manufacturing or financial business operations; and provision of energy application integration services, as well as constructs and operates aerial cable cars. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rich Development Co reported revenue of 7.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 5.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was 118M TWD in FY2025, compounding −10.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
5512 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Swiss Prime Site AG →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 137 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 129.20 | CHF 44.83 | -65% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 68.75 THB | 71.37 THB | +4% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,733 | ₹645.21 | -63% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹2,076 | ₹701.74 | -66% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 16.39 SAR | 11.62 SAR | -29% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 50.42 | kr 70.70 | +40% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.89 | ¥0.3300 | -89% |
| Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 | ¥19.95 | ¥4.60 | -77% |
| Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO | 3,940 CLP | 2,777 CLP | -30% |
| Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA | 59.57 MXN | 53.94 MXN | -9% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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