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Sunfon Construction Co (5514) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · TW · Market cap 3.1B TWD

SC Sunfon Construction Co 5514 · TWO
Price13.75 TWD
Fair Value7.20 TWD
Upside-47.6%
Quality42/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 8.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: Low Range 3.61 TWD – 10.90 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +1.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 48% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (10.90 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (3.61 TWD to 10.90 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

25.10 TWD 13.40 TWD Fair Value 7.20 TWD Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 13.40 TWD – 25.10 TWD · fair‑value band 3.61 TWD – 10.90 TWD · the 13.75 TWD price screens above the 7.20 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Sunfon Construction Co (5514) currently trades at 13.75 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.20 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 47.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sunfon Construction Co generated revenue of 671M TWD at a net margin of 8.3%. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at 2.3B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 3.61 TWD (bear case) to 10.90 TWD (bull case); at 13.75 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -48%, 5514 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 3.61 TWD 7.20 TWD 10.90 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 3.61 TWD 6.22 TWD 7.60 TWD 61
NCAV (Graham) 6.89 TWD 9.23 TWD 13.78 TWD 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.61 TWD 7.20 TWD 10.90 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 3.61 TWD 6.22 TWD 7.60 TWD 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.89 TWD 9.23 TWD 13.78 TWD 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (9.23 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (6.22 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 671M TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +46,025%
Net margin 8.3%
Return on equity 1.8%
Free cash flow −819M TWD FY2025
Operating margin 15.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.1300 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) +182%
Net debt 2.3B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sunfon Construction Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, construction, and sale of public housing and commercial buildings. The company is involved in the construction of civil engineering projects, lease of commercial buildings, demolition of buildings, and waste removal activities.

Full company description

Sunfon Construction Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, construction, and sale of public housing and commercial buildings. The company is involved in the construction of civil engineering projects, lease of commercial buildings, demolition of buildings, and waste removal activities. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sunfon Construction Co reported revenue of 5.8M TWD in FY2025 versus 5.7M TWD in FY2021, a compound +0.6%/yr. Reported net income was −29.9M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 14/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.8M TWD
Latest YoY
−99.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−61.3%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−28.9%
Revenue +0.6%/yr
FY21 5.7M TWD
FY22 6.9M TWD
FY23 478M TWD
FY24 685M TWD
FY25 5.8M TWD
Net income
FY21 −7.4M TWD
FY22 −13.9M TWD
FY23 28.9M TWD
FY24 84.9M TWD
FY25 −29.9M TWD

5514 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sunfon Construction Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5514

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −48% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Below median
Revenue growth 46025% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 7 · sector 16
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sunfon Construction Co (5514) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.20 TWD versus a price of 13.75 TWD, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5514?
Our model-based fair value for Sunfon Construction Co is 7.20 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 13.75 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5514?
Sunfon Construction Co has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sunfon Construction Co (5514)?
Sunfon Construction Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 671M TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5514?
The net profit margin of Sunfon Construction Co is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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