Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd (5907) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 931M TWD
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +2.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 42% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (8.58 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (8.58 TWD to 27.11 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.60 TWD – 24.27 TWD · fair‑value band 8.58 TWD – 27.11 TWD · the 4.98 TWD price screens below the 8.58 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
Analysis
Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd (5907) currently trades at 4.98 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.58 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 72.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd generated revenue of 2.7B TWD at a net margin of -33.7%. Revenue declined 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.4%. Net debt stands at 12.6B TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8.58 TWD (bear case) to 27.11 TWD (bull case); at 4.98 TWD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at 72%, 5907 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (18.64 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (8.53 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the department store retail business in China. The company also offers business management consulting services; and trades in cosmetics and furnishings. Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd. was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Grand Ocean Retail Group Ltd reported revenue of 2.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 5.2B TWD in FY2021, a compound −14.5%/yr. Reported net income was −890M TWD in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Department Stores · 126 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
| Dillard's, Inc DDS | $636.02 | $718.64 | +13% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.65 MYR | 1.59 MYR | -56% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Macy's, Inc M | $23.79 | $42.68 | +79% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | -72% |
| Central Retail Corporation CRC | 27.50 THB | 20.89 THB | -24% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 399,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | -55% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 96,700 KRW | 76,636 KRW | -21% |
| PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY | 940.00 IDR | 968.76 IDR | +3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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