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ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD S$0.04, price S$0.02, upside +102.9%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · SG · ISIN SG1P25916898

ZF Thin data Sep 27, 2026

ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD

5EG · SG

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value 0.0426 SGD · Strongly undervalued (+102.9%)
!Quality 55/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.0% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (6/10)
!Moderate moat 50/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

0.0500 SGD 0.0110 SGD Fair Value 0.0426 SGD May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0110 SGD – 0.0500 SGD · fair‑value band 0.0370 SGD – 0.0510 SGD · the 0.0210 SGD price screens below the 0.0426 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhongxin Fruit and Juice Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the production and sale of fruit and vegetable juice concentrates and beverages primarily in the People's Republic of China. Its concentrated apple juice is used as an ingredient in packet juice and soft drinks, cider, yoghurt, and candies.

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Zhongxin Fruit and Juice Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the production and sale of fruit and vegetable juice concentrates and beverages primarily in the People's Republic of China. Its concentrated apple juice is used as an ingredient in packet juice and soft drinks, cider, yoghurt, and candies. The company offers concentrated apple juice for exports to multinational F and B corporations in the United States, the European Union, South Africa, Canada, and Japan. The company was formerly known as New Lakeside Holdings Limited and changed its name to Zhongxin Fruit and Juice Limited in February 2013. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Singapore. Zhongxin Fruit and Juice Limited is a subsidiary of SDIC Zhonglu Fruit Juice Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG) currently trades at 0.0210 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0426 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 50.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 0.1300 SGD per share, and 14 of the 15 models we run sit above the 0.0210 SGD price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.0200 SGD, and 1 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.0370 SGD (bear) to 0.0510 SGD (bull), the price of 0.0210 SGD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD reported revenue of 239M CNY in FY2025 versus 131M CNY in FY2021, a compound +16.2%/yr. Reported net income was 29.7M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 31.7M SGD (≈ $24.7M) · P/S ratio 0.19 · Net margin 12.4% · Return on equity 12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8% · Operating margin 15.0% · Revenue (TTM) 165M CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −43.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 103%, 5EG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.0370 SGD Fair Value 0.0426 SGD Bull 0.0510 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 0.0700 SGD 0.1300 SGD 0.2300 SGD 71
EPV 0.0500 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0600 SGD 70
ROIC Compounder 0.0500 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.1000 SGD 69
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 0.0700 SGD 0.1300 SGD 0.2300 SGD 71
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.0400 SGD 0.1800 SGD 0.2400 SGD 64
Lynch FV 0.0500 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 61
PEG = 1.0 0.0500 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 57
EPV 0.0500 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0600 SGD 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.0800 SGD 0.1100 SGD 0.1400 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 0.0500 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 0.1100 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 0.0700 SGD 0.1000 SGD 0.1200 SGD 63
EV/EBITDA 0.0600 SGD 0.0800 SGD 0.1000 SGD 64
EV/Revenue 0.0500 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.0300 SGD 0.0400 SGD 0.0700 SGD 68
ROIC Compounder 0.0500 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.1000 SGD 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.0700 SGD 0.1000 SGD 0.1400 SGD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 95
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+76.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+4.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 13%
2025 sits 397% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 84 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside +102.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12.7% · Below median
Return on assets 3.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 13.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −43.7% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.15× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 0.7× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)51 · sector 56
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 60

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company KO $86.84 $29.32 −66%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $126.72 $96.95 −23%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $41.86 $46.05 +10%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$38.40 HK$42.24 +10%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP $102.87 $85.49 −17%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $31.03 $40.34 +30%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹434.65 ₹187.49 −57%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥110.83 ¥173.16 +56%
Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage Co 603156 ¥43.90 ¥17.77 −60%
Celsius Holdings CELH $27.99 $30.79 +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5EG

Frequently asked questions

Is ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0426 SGD versus a price of 0.0210 SGD, about +103% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5EG?
Our model-based fair value for ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD is 0.0426 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.0210 SGD.
What is the quality score of 5EG?
ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0426 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0370 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0510 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0426 SGD, about +103% upside versus a price of 0.0210 SGD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.0370 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0510 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG)?
ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 165M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD it is 0.0426 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 0.0210 SGD. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 5EG trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.0210 SGD, fair value 0.0426 SGD, a gap of about +103% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5EG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.0210 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0426 SGD). For ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD the two are 0.0216 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD worth?
The market values ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD at about 31.7M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 0.0210 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0426 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5EG?
Our models span a range for ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD: cautious scenario 0.0370 SGD, base 0.0426 SGD, optimistic 0.0510 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 0.0210 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG)?
Balance-sheet figures for ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 12.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5EG from its 52-week high?
ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD trades at 0.0210 SGD, about 56% below its 52-week high of 0.0480 SGD and at the low of 0.0210 SGD (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0426 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 0.0210 SGD, calculated fair value 0.0426 SGD (+103%), Quality Score 55/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5EG calculated?
We run ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0426 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD currently trades 51 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was 0.0210 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.0426 SGD, about +103% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.0370 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD

How large is the market capitalisation of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG)?
The market capitalisation of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD is 31.7M SGD (≈ $24.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD is 0.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG)?
The net margin of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD is 12.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG)?
The operating margin of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD is 15.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG)?
Revenue at ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD is growing −43.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG)?
Earnings per share at ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD are growing −37.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG) generate?
The free cash flow of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD is −59.3M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG) carry?
The net debt of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD is 67.3M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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