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ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · SG · Market cap 31.7M SGD

ZF ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD 5EG · SG
Price0.0240 SGD
Fair Value0.0420 SGD
Upside+75.0%
Quality55/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/10)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range 0.0420 SGD – 0.0540 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −25.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 75% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.0420 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.0500 SGD 0.0110 SGD Fair Value 0.0420 SGD Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0110 SGD – 0.0500 SGD · fair‑value band 0.0420 SGD – 0.0540 SGD · the 0.0240 SGD price screens below the 0.0420 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG) currently trades at 0.0240 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0420 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 75.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD generated revenue of 165M SGD at a net margin of 13.0%. Revenue declined 43.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.7%. Net debt stands at 67.3M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.0420 SGD (bear case) to 0.0540 SGD (bull case); at 0.0240 SGD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 75%, 5EG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E 0.3800 SGD 0.5500 SGD 0.7100 SGD 68
ROIC Compounder 0.2100 SGD 0.2600 SGD 0.3200 SGD 67
P/E Multiple 0.4400 SGD 0.5900 SGD 0.7400 SGD 63
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 0.2600 SGD 0.4200 SGD 0.6500 SGD 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.1900 SGD 0.9200 SGD 1.27 SGD 54
Lynch FV 0.2500 SGD 0.3500 SGD 0.4600 SGD 50
PEG = 1.0 0.2500 SGD 0.3500 SGD 0.4600 SGD 46
EPV 0.2000 SGD 0.2200 SGD 0.2400 SGD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.4400 SGD 0.5900 SGD 0.7400 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 0.2700 SGD 0.3600 SGD 0.4500 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 0.3600 SGD 0.4800 SGD 0.6000 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 0.3900 SGD 0.5100 SGD 0.6400 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 0.3100 SGD 0.4100 SGD 0.5100 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 0.2500 SGD 0.3500 SGD 0.4500 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.0800 SGD 0.1100 SGD 0.1600 SGD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.1500 SGD 0.1900 SGD 0.4400 SGD 61
ROIC Compounder 0.2100 SGD 0.2600 SGD 0.3200 SGD 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.3800 SGD 0.5500 SGD 0.7100 SGD 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (0.5500 SGD) versus Asset-Based (0.1100 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 165M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) -43.7%
Net margin 13.0%
Return on equity 12.7%
Free cash flow −59.3M SGD FY2025
Operating margin 15.0%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -37.9%
Net debt 67.3M SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 95
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhongxin Fruit and Juice Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the production and sale of fruit and vegetable juice concentrates and beverages primarily in the People's Republic of China. Its concentrated apple juice is used as an ingredient in packet juice and soft drinks, cider, yoghurt, and candies.

Full company description

Zhongxin Fruit and Juice Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the production and sale of fruit and vegetable juice concentrates and beverages primarily in the People's Republic of China. Its concentrated apple juice is used as an ingredient in packet juice and soft drinks, cider, yoghurt, and candies. The company offers concentrated apple juice for exports to multinational F and B corporations in the United States, the European Union, South Africa, Canada, and Japan. The company was formerly known as New Lakeside Holdings Limited and changed its name to Zhongxin Fruit and Juice Limited in February 2013. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Singapore. Zhongxin Fruit and Juice Limited is a subsidiary of SDIC Zhonglu Fruit Juice Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD reported revenue of 239M SGD in FY2025 versus 131M SGD in FY2021, a compound +16.2%/yr. Reported net income was 29.7M SGD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
239M SGD
Latest YoY
+76.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Revenue +16.2%/yr
FY21 131M SGD
FY22 142M SGD
FY23 115M SGD
FY24 135M SGD
FY25 239M SGD
Net income
FY21 −3.9M SGD
FY22 47.4M SGD
FY23 6.0M SGD
FY24 2.3M SGD
FY25 29.7M SGD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5EG

Peer Group

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 92 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside +67% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Revenue growth -44% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 0.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 21
FUTURE 0 · sector 46
PAST 51 · sector 51
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company KO $86.71 $36.57 -58%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $138.70 $106.91 -23%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $45.98 $35.82 -22%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$42.54 HK$30.90 -27%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP €92.10 €70.86 -23%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $29.56 $30.99 +5%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOFUBL 180.76 MXN 159.53 MXN -12%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €54.20 €46.77 -14%
Arca Continental, S.A. AC 198.23 MXN 242.13 MXN +22%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹438.45 ₹187.49 -57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0420 SGD versus a price of 0.0240 SGD, about +75% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5EG?
Our model-based fair value for ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD is 0.0420 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.0240 SGD.
What is the quality score of 5EG?
ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD (5EG)?
ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 165M SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5EG?
The net profit margin of ZHONGXIN FRUIT AND JUICE LTD is about 13.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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