HOSEN GROUP LTD (5EV) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · SG · Market cap 21.1M SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 0.1333 SGD to 0.1304 SGD (−2.1%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price −4.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 107% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.1052 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0310 SGD – 0.0732 SGD · fair‑value band 0.1052 SGD – 0.1556 SGD · the 0.0630 SGD price screens below the 0.1304 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
HOSEN GROUP LTD (5EV) currently trades at 0.0630 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1304 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 107.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, HOSEN GROUP LTD generated revenue of 69.6M SGD at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue declined 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 6.3. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.1052 SGD (bear case) to 0.1556 SGD (bull case); at 0.0630 SGD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at 107%, 5EV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (0.1700 SGD) versus Earnings-Based (0.0700 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hosen Group Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the development, trading, and distribution of canned seafood products, canned fruits and vegetables, canned meat products, and chocolate products in Singapore, Malaysia, China, and internationally. It operates through two segments, House Brands and Non-House Brands.
Full company description
Hosen Group Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the development, trading, and distribution of canned seafood products, canned fruits and vegetables, canned meat products, and chocolate products in Singapore, Malaysia, China, and internationally. It operates through two segments, House Brands and Non-House Brands. The company offers a range of canned food, such as freshly picked and packed fruits and vegetables, condiments, and beverages under the Hosen brand name; canned seafood, such as braised abalone and various types of shellfish under the Fortune brand name; canned meat and breakfast spreads under the Highway brand; Olive Oil with White Truffle Dressing, Balsamic Vinegar of Modena, Red Grape Vinegar, and White Grape Vinegar under the LaDiva brand; non-alcoholic effervescent beverages under the Royal Select brand; and chocolate products with contents packed in bottle, pouch and tin while Cocoa Grande brand carries semi-finished and finished industrial chocolate products under the Sincero and Calbuco brands. It also engages in the importation, distribution, wholesaling, and retailing of household consumable goods; develops, processes, trades and distributes house and new chocolate products; and trading of frozen and dried, canned and seafood related products. Hosen Group Ltd. was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HOSEN GROUP LTD reported revenue of 69.6M SGD in FY2025 versus 68.2M SGD in FY2021, a compound +0.5%/yr. Reported net income was 3.2M SGD in FY2025, compounding +7.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Food Distribution · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $84.69 | $59.83 | -29% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $110.94 | $53.53 | -52% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $107.25 | $37.94 | -65% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €16.94 | €21.59 | +27% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.80 THB | 17.42 THB | +18% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $111.07 | $37.27 | -66% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.34 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +58% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $47.27 | $6.00 | -87% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $65.61 | $47.78 | -27% |
| Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 | ¥31.47 | ¥6.75 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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