SOUP HOLDINGS LIMITED (5KI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SG · Market cap 11.7M SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 0.0490 SGD to 0.0496 SGD (+1.2%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +21.1% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from 0.0466 SGD (bear) to 0.0601 SGD (bull), base 0.0496 SGD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 65/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0320 SGD – 0.1011 SGD · fair‑value band 0.0466 SGD – 0.0601 SGD · the 0.0460 SGD price screens below the 0.0496 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
SOUP HOLDINGS LIMITED (5KI) currently trades at 0.0460 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0496 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 7.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, SOUP HOLDINGS LIMITED generated revenue of 37.6M SGD at a net margin of -3.3%. Revenue grew 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -16.4%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.0466 SGD (bear case) to 0.0601 SGD (bull case); at 0.0460 SGD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at 8%, 5KI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (0.5400 SGD) versus Asset-Based (0.0200 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Soup Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates restaurants. It operates in two segments, Operation of Restaurants; and Food Processing, Distribution and Procurement Services.
Full company description
Soup Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates restaurants. It operates in two segments, Operation of Restaurants; and Food Processing, Distribution and Procurement Services. The company processes, distributes and procures raw materials, and food and beverage products; and provides procurement, and job training and vocational rehabilitation services. It operates restaurant outlets in Singapore and Malaysia under the Soup Restaurant, TEAHOUSE by Soup Restaurant, LITTLE TEAHOUSE, and CAFE O brand names, as well as franchised outlets in Indonesia. The company was formerly known as Soup Restaurant Group Limited and changed its name to Soup Holdings Limited in May 2022. Soup Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SOUP HOLDINGS LIMITED reported revenue of 37.5M SGD in FY2025 versus 29.6M SGD in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −1.2M SGD in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Restaurants · 228 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $108.49 | $35.83 | -67% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $32.00 | $17.92 | -44% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $150.34 | $58.17 | -61% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.50 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $218.90 | $173.68 | -21% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $47.90 | $54.27 | +13% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $214.28 | $104.89 | -51% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $51.02 | $12.80 | -75% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $353.72 | $227.31 | -36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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