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Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Haidilao International Holding Ltd stock HK$18.29, price HK$10.19, upside +79.5%, quality 72 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical HK · Based in China · ISIN KYG4290A1013

HI Haidilao International Holding Ltd logo Broad data Nov 8, 2026

Haidilao International Holding Ltd

6862 · HK
Undervalued, but in a downtrend

The stock costs 44% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value HK$18.29 · Strongly undervalued
Quality 72/100
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (13/15)
Wide moat 77/100
Broad data
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 21% above the price (HK$12.32).
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.0 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 9.1% net margin (TTM)
7.5% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Negative coverage

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Price drop: Shareholder tax loan repayment and earlier stake sale weighed on sentiment🚩Rivals like Xiabuxiabu and Jiumaojiu take share🚩Dependence on saturated Chinese market
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$38.94 HK$8.17 Fair Value HK$18.29 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$8.17 – HK$38.94 · fair‑value band HK$12.32 – HK$22.82 · the HK$10.19 price screens below the HK$18.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Haidilao International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery businesses in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan.

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The company operates through Restaurant Operation, Delivery Business, Sales of Condiment Products and Food Ingredients, and Franchise Business segments. It also operates a Chinese cuisine restaurant under the Haidilao brand that offers hot pot cuisine.

In addition, the company is involved in technology; sale of condiment products and food ingredients; hotel operation; property investment management and consulting; and trading businesses.

Haidilao International Holding Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862) currently trades at HK$10.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$18.29, implying the stock looks roughly 44% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$21.99 per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$10.19 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$7.43, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: HK$12.32 (bear) to HK$22.82 (bull), the price of HK$10.19 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Haidilao International Holding Ltd reported revenue of 42.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 39.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 3.9B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$55.2B (≈ $7.0B) Mid · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 1.03 · Dividend yield 7.5% · Net margin 9.4% · Return on equity 41.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 26.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 11.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 77 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at 79%, 6862 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$12.32 Fair Value HK$18.29 Bull HK$22.82
Price HK$10.19 · Upside +79.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF HK$12.50 HK$21.28 HK$36.11 78
Growth DCF HK$12.33 HK$20.14 HK$32.69 77
Owner Earnings HK$13.20 HK$22.54 HK$38.30 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$12.50 HK$21.28 HK$36.11 78
Owner Earnings HK$13.20 HK$22.54 HK$38.30 74
5Y Revenue Exit HK$10.20 HK$16.45 HK$24.92 72
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$13.51 HK$23.38 HK$35.90 74
5Y P/E Exit HK$13.83 HK$24.04 HK$35.88 70
10Y Revenue Exit HK$10.64 HK$16.79 HK$26.20 66
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$13.04 HK$21.75 HK$35.24 67
10Y P/E Exit HK$13.24 HK$22.23 HK$35.23 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$5.82 HK$28.42 HK$39.17 64
Lynch FV HK$7.63 HK$10.90 HK$14.17 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$7.63 HK$10.90 HK$14.17 57
EPV HK$7.51 HK$8.44 HK$9.25 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$7.55 HK$14.83 HK$22.13 67
DDM Multi-Stage HK$7.55 HK$12.92 HK$15.68 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$14.11 HK$18.82 HK$23.52 63
P/S Multiple HK$8.22 HK$10.96 HK$13.70 58
P/B Multiple HK$6.43 HK$8.57 HK$10.72 55
EV/EBIT HK$14.35 HK$19.08 HK$23.80 66
EV/EBITDA HK$13.77 HK$18.30 HK$22.84 67
EV/Revenue HK$7.84 HK$11.13 HK$14.41 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$12.33 HK$20.14 HK$32.69 77
Rev-Margin DCF HK$10.20 HK$16.32 HK$24.37 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$4.73 HK$5.61 HK$9.48 74
ROIC Compounder HK$7.85 HK$9.24 HK$10.71 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$12.10 HK$17.29 HK$22.48 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 84
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 56
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 90
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 77
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 65
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 13
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 13
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +22.0% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+31.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.23.8% vs 22.6%, steady
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 12%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.1%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.7% a year for the price and +5.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+10.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+7.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+6.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.2%

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (44 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.
Note from the team Nov 6, 2026
AI conclusion: High ROE and solid cash conversion underscore operational strengths in a competitive restaurant sector, though limited differentiation signals constrain broader advantages.
Main risk: Differentiated hotpot concepts from rivals such as Xiabuxiabu and Jiumaojiu could attract customers away from Haidilao’s core restaurants and force lower prices or margins.
Bull case: By scaling its multi-brand portfolio and international stores while leveraging automation for efficiency, Haidilao could capture new customer segments and offset any losses in the core hotpot business.
Bear case: If differentiated rivals continue to siphon customers and the Chinese market remains saturated, Haidilao’s core restaurant operations could face prolonged stagnation with limited avenues for meaningful growth.
Haidilao's controlling shareholder just repaid a short-term loan taken to handle liquidity needs from new tax rules on offshore trusts. This follows an earlier stake sale and has weighed on sentiment even while delivery and other operations grow fast enough to offset softer core restaurant results. Our models see the shares as undervalued. Will settling these founder-level tax pressures free management to drive multi-brand growth, or will similar overhangs keep resurfacing?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 200 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +79.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 41.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets 17.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 9.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 11.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 7.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 7.5% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 11.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 4.69× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.05× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 11.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.78× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)40 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $34.43 $37.87 +10% vs 6862
Yum China Holdings YUMC $49.95 $51.14 +2% vs 6862
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR $77.69 $72.40 −7% vs 6862
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $226.35 $175.82 −22% vs 6862
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $334.28 $234.54 −30% vs 6862
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $183.88 $128.55 −30% vs 6862
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $105.41 $65.63 −38% vs 6862
McDonald's Corporation MCD $276.52 $162.81 −41% vs 6862
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $161.14 $73.05 −55% vs 6862
CAVA Group CAVA $59.15 $12.01 −80% vs 6862

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Haidilao International Holding Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Haidilao International Holding Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6862

Frequently asked questions

Is Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$18.29 versus a price of HK$10.19, about +79% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 6862?
Our model-based fair value for Haidilao International Holding Ltd is HK$18.29 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$10.19.
What is the quality score of 6862?
Haidilao International Holding Ltd has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$18.29 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$12.32, optimistic scenario HK$22.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Haidilao International Holding Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$18.29, about +79% upside versus a price of HK$10.19 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$12.32, optimistic scenario HK$22.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
Haidilao International Holding Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 44.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Haidilao International Holding Ltd pay a dividend?
Haidilao International Holding Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 7.47% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Haidilao International Holding Ltd pays a dividend of HK$0.761 per share a year, a dividend yield of 7.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 7, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2019. The payout ratio is 88.9% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.14 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Haidilao International Holding Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -3.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.0 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6862 use?
Our models discount Haidilao International Holding Ltd at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.77, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Haidilao International Holding Ltd that is -3.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Haidilao International Holding Ltd grew +8.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -3.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Haidilao International Holding Ltd (-3.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.53 %: that much free cash flow Haidilao International Holding Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Haidilao International Holding Ltd it is HK$18.29 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of HK$10.19. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Haidilao International Holding Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 6862 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$10.19, fair value HK$18.29, a gap of about +79% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6862?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$10.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$18.29). For Haidilao International Holding Ltd the two are HK$8.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Haidilao International Holding Ltd worth?
The market values Haidilao International Holding Ltd at about HK$55.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is HK$10.19; our models calculate a fair value of HK$18.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6862?
Our models span a range for Haidilao International Holding Ltd: cautious scenario HK$12.32, base HK$18.29, optimistic HK$22.82 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price HK$10.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6862?
Haidilao International Holding Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.0 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$18.29 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 4.7, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 6.0.
What is the PEG ratio of 6862?
The PEG ratio of Haidilao International Holding Ltd is 0.78 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
Balance-sheet figures for Haidilao International Holding Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 41.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6862 from its 52-week high?
Haidilao International Holding Ltd trades at HK$10.19, about 41% below its 52-week high of HK$17.20 and 12% above the low of HK$9.08 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$18.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Haidilao International Holding Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Yum! Brands, Inc, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Haidilao International Holding Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price HK$10.19, calculated fair value HK$18.29 (+79%), Quality Score 72/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6862 calculated?
We run Haidilao International Holding Ltd through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$18.29 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Haidilao International Holding Ltd currently trades 44% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was HK$10.19. Our model-based fair value is HK$18.29, about +79% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Haidilao International Holding Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$12.32). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (72/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$12.32 to HK$22.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862) come from?
Earnings per share at Haidilao International Holding Ltd grew +28.7 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +23.6 %, EBIT margin −0.1 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Haidilao International Holding Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
The market capitalisation of Haidilao International Holding Ltd is HK$55.2B (≈ $7.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Haidilao International Holding Ltd is 1.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
The dividend yield of Haidilao International Holding Ltd is 7.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
The net margin of Haidilao International Holding Ltd is 9.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Haidilao International Holding Ltd is 41.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Haidilao International Holding Ltd is 26.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
The operating margin of Haidilao International Holding Ltd is 11.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
Revenue at Haidilao International Holding Ltd is growing +7.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862)?
Earnings per share at Haidilao International Holding Ltd are growing +2.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862) hold?
Haidilao International Holding Ltd holds more cash than debt, 779M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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