OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED S$0.08, price S$0.07, upside +17.4%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Oxley Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the investment and development of properties in Singapore, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Cambodia, and Malaysia. The company operates through Property Development, Property Investment, and Hotel segments. It develops residential, commercial, industrial, and hospitality projects.
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Oxley Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the investment and development of properties in Singapore, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Cambodia, and Malaysia. The company operates through Property Development, Property Investment, and Hotel segments. It develops residential, commercial, industrial, and hospitality projects. The company also leases commercial properties; owns and operates hotels; and provides treasury and management services. Oxley Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Stock analysis
OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX) currently trades at 0.0720 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0845 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 14.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.1200 SGD per share, and 5 of the 9 models we run sit above the 0.0720 SGD price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.0400 SGD, and 4 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.0703 SGD (bear) to 0.1129 SGD (bull), the price of 0.0720 SGD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED reported revenue of 164M SGD in FY2026 versus 926M SGD in FY2022, a compound −35.1%/yr. Reported net income was −49.9M SGD in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap 303M SGD (≈ $237M) · P/S ratio 1.85 · EPS (TTM) −0.0100 SGD · Net margin −30.5% · Return on equity −6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5% · Operating margin −44.0% · Revenue (TTM) 164M SGD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 17%, 5UX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.0703 SGDFair Value 0.0845 SGDBull 0.1129 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−47.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−36.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−34.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −16.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−9.2% (2020) → 4.7% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Singapore: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 570 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside+17.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−0.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−30.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−44.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−66.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.39× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
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Is OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0845 SGD versus a price of 0.0720 SGD, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5UX?
Our model-based fair value for OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED is 0.0845 SGD (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.0720 SGD.
What is the quality score of 5UX?
OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0845 SGD (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0703 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.1129 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0845 SGD, about +17% upside versus a price of 0.0720 SGD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.0703 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.1129 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 164M SGD (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED would have to grow free cash flow by +11.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -34.6 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5UX use?
Our models discount OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.25, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED that is +11.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED grew -34.6 % a year. The price currently implies +11.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (+11.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 22.44 %: that much free cash flow OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED it is 0.0845 SGD per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of 0.0720 SGD. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, 5UX trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.0720 SGD, fair value 0.0845 SGD, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5UX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.0720 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0845 SGD). For OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED the two are 0.0125 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED worth?
The market values OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED at about 303M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is 0.0720 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0845 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5UX?
Our models span a range for OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED: cautious scenario 0.0703 SGD, base 0.0845 SGD, optimistic 0.1129 SGD per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price 0.0720 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
Balance-sheet figures for OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity −6.5%, debt of 0.39 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5UX from its 52-week high?
OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED trades at 0.0720 SGD, about 34% below its 52-week high of 0.1090 SGD and 7% above the low of 0.0670 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0845 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price 0.0720 SGD, calculated fair value 0.0845 SGD (+17%), Quality Score 44/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5UX calculated?
We run OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0845 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED currently trades 15 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 0.0720 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.0845 SGD, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED
How large is the market capitalisation of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
The market capitalisation of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED is 303M SGD (≈ $237M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED is 1.85 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
Earnings per share at OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED are −0.0100 SGD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
The net margin of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED is −30.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED is −6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED is 1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
The operating margin of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED is −44.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
Revenue at OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED is growing −66.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −36.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX)?
Earnings per share at OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED are growing −18.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED (5UX) carry?
The net debt of OXLEY HOLDINGS LIMITED is 1.3B SGD (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 18.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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