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Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd ¥1.61, price ¥3.88, upside -58.5%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · CN · ISIN CNE0000011Q5

GC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd

600227 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥1.61 · Strongly overvalued (−59%)
!Quality 48/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -11.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/13)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 29 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 16 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥5.29 ¥1.13 Fair Value ¥1.61 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.13 – ¥5.29 · fair‑value band ¥1.16 – ¥2.03 · the ¥3.88 price screens above the ¥1.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Guizhou Chitianhua Co.,Ltd. engages in the chemical and pharmaceutical businesses in China. The company offers urea fertilizers; synthetic ammonia and ammonium sulfate; and sulfuric acid, industrial nitrogen, industrial ammonia, and industrial hydrogen, as well as basic chemical products and their deep-processed and by-products.

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Guizhou Chitianhua Co.,Ltd. engages in the chemical and pharmaceutical businesses in China. The company offers urea fertilizers; synthetic ammonia and ammonium sulfate; and sulfuric acid, industrial nitrogen, industrial ammonia, and industrial hydrogen, as well as basic chemical products and their deep-processed and by-products. It also produces and sells pharmaceuticals; medical equipment; and drugs for diabetes, cardiovascular, dermatology, gynecological, digestive system, endocrine, and psychotropic diseases. In addition, the company engages in the production of Chinese and western patent medicines; class II clinical laboratory analysis instruments; and sanitary products, as well as sales of self-produced products. Further, it is involved in the manufacture and sales of special and daily chemical products; provision of technical development, consultation, exchanges, and services; technology transfer and promotion; coal washing; sales of coal products; import and export of technology and goods; motor vehicle repair and maintenance; health care products; retailing of prepackaged foods; software technology development and services; data processing services; health consultation; production and sales of cosmetics; planting of Chinese herbal medicines; sales and storage services of cells; research on stem cell biotechnology and gene technology; production of biological products; investment in coal construction projects; and sales of industrial and mining products, mining equipment and spare parts. Guizhou Chitianhua Co.,Ltd. was formerly known as Guizhou Salvage Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Guizhou Chitianhua Co.,Ltd. in May 2023. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Guiyang, China.

Stock analysis

Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227) currently trades at ¥3.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.61, implying the stock looks roughly 141.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥1.80 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the ¥3.88 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.2600, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥1.16 (bear) to ¥2.03 (bull), the price of ¥3.88 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was −276M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 6.6B CNY (≈ $978M) · P/S ratio 2.41 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1500 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin −12.8% · Return on equity −10.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.2% · Operating margin −1.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −59%, 600227 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.16 Fair Value ¥1.61 Bull ¥2.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥1.34 ¥1.81 ¥2.38 82
Growth DCF ¥1.37 ¥1.80 ¥2.31 80
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.8300 ¥1.13 ¥1.44 76
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.34 ¥1.81 ¥2.38 82
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.21 ¥1.78 ¥2.48 73
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.8300 ¥1.13 ¥1.44 76
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.22 ¥1.71 ¥2.29 67
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.04 ¥1.31 ¥1.61 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2000 ¥0.2800 ¥0.3500 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2000 ¥0.2600 ¥0.3300 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥0.5400 ¥0.7700 ¥0.9900 67
EV/Revenue ¥1.20 ¥1.76 ¥2.33 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.6700 ¥0.9000 ¥1.34 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.37 ¥1.80 ¥2.31 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.21 ¥1.81 ¥2.45 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 33/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.0% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.1% (2020) → −4.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.6% a year for the price.

600227 screens 141% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.21× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.43× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.45× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 21.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)29 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)90 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)16 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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¥1.61 −141%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600227

Frequently asked questions

Is Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.61 versus a price of ¥3.88, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600227?
Our model-based fair value for Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd is ¥1.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.88.
What is the quality score of 600227?
Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.16, optimistic scenario ¥2.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.61, about −59% upside versus a price of ¥3.88 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.16, optimistic scenario ¥2.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.80% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +22.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600227 use?
Our models discount Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd that is +22.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd grew +2.4 % a year. The price currently implies +22.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (+22.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.74 %: that much free cash flow Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd it is ¥1.61 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥3.88. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600227 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.88, fair value ¥1.61, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600227?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.61). For Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd the two are ¥2.27 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd worth?
The market values Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd at about 6.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.88; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600227?
Our models span a range for Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.16, base ¥1.61, optimistic ¥2.03 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥3.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −10.9%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600227 from its 52-week high?
Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd trades at ¥3.88, about 27% below its 52-week high of ¥5.29 and 68% above the low of ¥2.31 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥3.88, calculated fair value ¥1.61 (−59%), Quality Score 48/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600227 calculated?
We run Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥3.88. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.61, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
The market capitalisation of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd is 6.6B CNY (≈ $978M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd is 2.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
Earnings per share at Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd are ¥−0.1500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
The dividend yield of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
The net margin of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd is −12.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd is −10.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd is −3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
The operating margin of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd is −1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
Revenue at Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd is growing +5.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227)?
Earnings per share at Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd are growing +33.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd (600227) carry?
The net debt of Guizhou Chitianhua Co Ltd is 835M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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