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Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd ¥0.60, price ¥3.05, upside -80.3%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · CN · ISIN CNE000001691

LS Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd

600303 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥0.6000 · Strongly overvalued (−80%)
!Quality 41/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −9.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -24.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

¥9.49 ¥2.28 Fair Value ¥0.6000 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.28 – ¥9.49 · fair‑value band ¥0.4500 – ¥0.9000 · the ¥3.05 price screens above the ¥0.6000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells automobiles, and axles and other auto parts in China.

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Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells automobiles, and axles and other auto parts in China. It offers pickup vehicles; mini buses; electric buses; special pickup vehicles, including sewer suction pickups, refrigerated pickups, blasting equipment transporter, police pickups, pickup cranes, and pickup wrecker; sanitation vehicles, such as self-loading garbage trucks, sewer flushing/suction vehicles, snow sweepers, and garbage compression trucks; cargo vehicles, including wingspan trailers, cargo tank containers, fuel transportation trailers, and cargo trailers; and modified vehicles, such as recreational vehicles, vending vans, washing vehicles, and machine shop trucks, as well as types of axles. It also provides cargo warehousing services, import and export of goods and technology, heating services, and inspection and testing services. In addition, the company invests in real estate projects. The company offers its vehicles under the Huanghai brand and axles under the SG brand. The company was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Dandong, China.

Stock analysis

Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303) currently trades at ¥3.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6000, implying the stock looks roughly 408.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: ¥0.4500 (bear) to ¥0.9000 (bull), the price of ¥3.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −11.0%/yr. Reported net income was −358M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.1B CNY (≈ $311M) · P/S ratio 1.35 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.5000 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin −23.0% · Return on equity −31.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.8% · Operating margin −23.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −80%, 600303 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.4500 Fair Value ¥0.6000 Bull ¥0.9000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.7300 ¥0.9800 ¥1.46 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.7300 ¥0.9800 ¥1.46 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −9.9% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.9% (2020) → −15.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

600303 screens 408% overvalued. Compare with Tesla, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 116 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −24% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −23% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −40% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.31× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.22× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)41 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tesla, Inc TSLA $377.94 $40.97 −89%
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $186.72 $210.48 +13%
BYD Company 002594 ¥86.58 ¥61.43 −29%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 353,500 KRW 363,952 KRW +3%
General Motors Company GM $83.77 $61.21 −27%
Ferrari N.V RACE $413.05 $454.36 +10%
Ford Motor Company F $12.94 $12.62 −2%
Mercedes-Benz Group MBG €41.25 €106.88 +159%
Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 €45.32 €21.98 −52%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹12,230 ₹8,236 −33%

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Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥0.6000 −408%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600303

Frequently asked questions

Is Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.6000 versus a price of ¥3.05, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600303?
Our model-based fair value for Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd is ¥0.6000 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.05.
What is the quality score of 600303?
Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.6000 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.4500, optimistic scenario ¥0.9000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.6000, about −80% upside versus a price of ¥3.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.4500, optimistic scenario ¥0.9000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd it is ¥0.6000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥3.05. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600303 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.05, fair value ¥0.6000, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600303?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.6000). For Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd the two are ¥2.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd at about 2.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.05; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.6000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600303?
Our models span a range for Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.4500, base ¥0.6000, optimistic ¥0.9000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥3.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
Balance-sheet figures for Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −31.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600303 from its 52-week high?
Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd trades at ¥3.05, about 24% below its 52-week high of ¥3.99 and 31% above the low of ¥2.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.6000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, Hyundai Motor Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥3.05, calculated fair value ¥0.6000 (−80%), Quality Score 41/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600303 calculated?
We run Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.6000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥3.05. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.6000, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.9000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.4500 to ¥0.9000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
The market capitalisation of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd is 2.1B CNY (≈ $311M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd is 1.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
Earnings per share at Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd are ¥−0.5000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
The dividend yield of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd is 2.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
The net margin of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd is −23.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd is −31.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd is −9.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
The operating margin of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd is −23.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
Revenue at Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd is growing −39.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303)?
Earnings per share at Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd are growing −31.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303) generate?
The free cash flow of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd is −110M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd (600303) carry?
The net debt of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd is 256M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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