Gansu Jiu Steel Group (600307) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 9.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥0.5800 to ¥1.16 (+100.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +5.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 20% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (¥0.8800 to ¥1.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.14 – ¥3.49 · fair‑value band ¥0.8800 – ¥1.74 · the ¥1.45 price screens above the ¥1.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Gansu Jiu Steel Group (600307) currently trades at ¥1.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.16, implying the stock looks roughly 20.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gansu Jiu Steel Group generated revenue of 30.8B CNY at a net margin of -5.6%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -27.9%. Net debt stands at 20.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.8800 (bear case) to ¥1.74 (bull case); at ¥1.45, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -20%, 600307 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gansu Jiu Steel Group Hongxing Iron & Steel Co.,Ltd. produces and sells iron and steel and their rolled products in China.
Full company description
Gansu Jiu Steel Group Hongxing Iron & Steel Co.,Ltd. produces and sells iron and steel and their rolled products in China. The company provides steel products, such as vibration damping plate, carbon steel cold-rolled, hot rolled coil, high-speed wire, carbon steel plate, rods, stainless steel hot-rolled strip and plate, stainless steel cold-rolled strip, carbon steel galvanized plates, and carbon steel hot-rolled products; and aluminum ingots, aluminum cast rolled plate, profiles, aluminum alloy doors and windows, and anode carbon blocks. It also offers manufacturing equipment for coking, mining, steelmaking, ironmaking, sintering, special equipment, material handling, new energy, ore dressing, and metallurgical transportation. In addition, the company engages is involved in wine, dairy, and public service industries; and providing ferro alloys , and non-metallic materials. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Jiayuguan, China. Gansu Jiu Steel Group Hongxing Iron & Steel Co.,Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Jiuquan Iron and Steel (Group) Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gansu Jiu Steel Group reported revenue of ¥30.6B in FY2025 versus ¥48.7B in FY2021, a compound −11.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥2.0B in FY2025.
600307 screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →
Peer Group
Steel · 378 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tata Steel Limited TTST | $0.2010 | $0.2000 | -0% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,227 | ₹1,140 | -7% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.89 | ¥8.07 | +37% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.55 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 313,500 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -50% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,940 ARS | +17% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,028 | ₹545.12 | -47% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,844 | ₹1,098 | -40% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 42.64 MXN | -49% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,210 ARS | +53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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