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North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd (600435) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 15.9B CNY (≈ $2.4B) · ISIN CNE000001F88

What is North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd really worth?

NN North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd 600435 · SHG
Price¥11.61
Fair Value¥1.36
Upside−88.3%
Quality48/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Below-average quality, and trading another 754% above our fair value of ¥1.36.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.9% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/13)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 13 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 4 out of 100

For context

·0.22% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range ¥1.02 – ¥1.69

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +7.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥21.87 ¥7.01 Fair Value ¥1.36 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.01 – ¥21.87 · fair‑value band ¥1.02 – ¥1.69 · the ¥11.61 price screens above the ¥1.36 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd (600435) currently trades at ¥11.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.36, implying the stock looks roughly 754.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥1.95 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥11.61 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.3200, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of 4.3B CNY at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue grew 22.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 459M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.02 (bear case) to ¥1.69 (bull case); at ¥11.61, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −88%, 600435 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.0372 per share, which is 2.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ¥1.39 ¥1.95 ¥2.91 76
Residual Income ¥1.44 ¥1.43 ¥1.29 76
EPV ¥1.17 ¥1.24 ¥1.31 74
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥1.39 ¥1.95 ¥2.91 76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.5400 ¥2.52 ¥3.46 64
Lynch FV ¥0.6600 ¥0.9500 ¥1.23 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.6600 ¥0.9500 ¥1.23 57
EPV ¥1.17 ¥1.24 ¥1.31 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1800 ¥0.3800 ¥0.6000 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1800 ¥0.3200 ¥0.4000 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.26 ¥1.67 ¥2.09 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.02 ¥1.36 ¥1.69 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.02 ¥1.36 ¥1.69 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.39 ¥1.62 ¥1.84 66
EV/EBITDA ¥1.87 ¥2.26 ¥2.64 67
EV/Revenue ¥1.19 ¥1.40 ¥1.61 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.9600 ¥1.29 ¥1.93 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.44 ¥1.43 ¥1.29 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.17 ¥1.24 ¥1.31 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.06 ¥1.51 ¥1.97 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥1.95) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.3200). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 145.1
P/S ratio 4.20 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0800 price ÷ EPS = P/E 145.1
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 31.3%
Net margin 2.9% FY2025
Return on equity 3.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% avg 5y
Operating margin −6.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 4.3B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.7% 3y avg +2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +14.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −297M CNY FY2025
Net cash 459M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

North Navigation Control Technology Co.,Ltd. provides military and civilian products in China. The company offers navigation control and ammunition information technology which covers guidance, navigation, detection, environmental, and stability control; satellite and ground communications; electrical connectors; unmanned patrol aircraft; and other products …

Full company description

North Navigation Control Technology Co.,Ltd. provides military and civilian products in China. The company offers navigation control and ammunition information technology which covers guidance, navigation, detection, environmental, and stability control; satellite and ground communications; electrical connectors; unmanned patrol aircraft; and other products and technologies, as well as special vehicles. North Navigation Control Technology Co.,Ltd. was formerly known as China North Optical-Electrical Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to North Navigation Control Technology Co.,Ltd. in April 2012. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 4.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was 121M CNY in FY2025, compounding −2.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 41/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+51.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+14.0% (13.8 + 0.2)
Revenue +1.1%/yr
FY21 4.0B CNY
FY22 3.8B CNY
FY23 3.6B CNY
FY24 2.7B CNY
FY25 4.2B CNY
Net income −2.5%/yr
FY21 134M CNY
FY22 185M CNY
FY23 192M CNY
FY24 59.0M CNY
FY25 121M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +13.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.2 %

of which total revenue +7.5 % · buybacks/dilution −0.3 %

EBIT margin −3.4 %
Tax rate +5.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +4.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

600435 screens 754% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600435

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 145.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.73× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 82.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 21
PAST13 · sector 28
HEALTH100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND4 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $953.09 $131.95 −86%
SIE SIE €289.85 €139.77 −52%
Eaton Corporation ETN $402.78 $168.65 −58%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $995.02 $398.69 −60%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 206.60 kr 112.59 −46%
Cummins Inc CMI $564.40 $348.94 −38%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $281.67 $145.84 −48%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.18 $58.44 −62%
AMETEK, Inc AME $236.25 $125.80 −47%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $417.53 $125.76 −70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd (600435) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.36 versus a price of ¥11.61, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600435?
Our model-based fair value for North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd is ¥1.36 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.61.
What is the quality score of 600435?
North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd (600435)?
North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600435?
The net profit margin of North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd is about 2.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
North Navigation Control Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.22% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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