China National Software & Service Company (600536) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 30.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥8.30 to ¥7.94 (−4.3%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +15.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥17.91 – ¥69.19 · fair‑value band ¥7.42 – ¥9.33 · the ¥32.17 price screens above the ¥7.94 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
China National Software & Service Company (600536) currently trades at ¥32.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.94, implying the stock looks roughly 75.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, China National Software & Service Company generated revenue of 5.2B CNY at a net margin of -0.7%. Revenue grew 10.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.42 (bear case) to ¥9.33 (bull case); at ¥32.17, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -75%, 600536 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥10.71) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.6800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China National Software & Service Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides basic software and core application solutions in China and internationally.
Full company description
China National Software & Service Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides basic software and core application solutions in China and internationally. The company offers Galaxy Kylin desktop, Galaxy Kylin advanced server, and Starlight Kylin operating systems; and DM8 database management system, DM distributed database, database appliance DAMENG PAI, Dameng Qiyun database cloud service system, and GDMBASE. It also provides waterproof dam data leakage prevention, host monitoring and auditing, unified endpoint security management, printing and CD burning security monitoring and auditing, network access control, terminal security login and file protection, and electronic document security management systems, as well as consulting services for the protection of trade secrets of central state-owned enterprises; and communication power and environmental monitoring system. In addition, the company offers core applications for organization, taxation, railway, electricity, water conservancy, enterprise, and common application services; and operation support, application building, data service, and artificial intelligence platforms. Further, it is involved in application software services; computer system services; development and sale of computer software and hardware; research, development, production, and sale of core modules for automated ticketing systems; technical services; software and information technology services; information systems and integration; and business services. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China National Software & Service Company reported revenue of ¥5.1B in FY2025 versus ¥10.4B in FY2021, a compound −16.2%/yr. Reported net income was −¥41.4M in FY2025.
600536 screens 75% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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