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Huaihe Energy (Group) Co (600575) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 24.2B CNY

HE Huaihe Energy (Group) Co 600575 · SHG
Price¥3.37
Fair Value¥3.43
Upside+1.7%
Quality27/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.9% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
5.57% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.57 – ¥4.28 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +3.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥2.57 (bear) to ¥4.28 (bull), base ¥3.43. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 27/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥4.17 ¥1.88 Fair Value ¥3.43 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.88 – ¥4.17 · fair‑value band ¥2.57 – ¥4.28 · the ¥3.37 price screens below the ¥3.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Huaihe Energy (Group) Co (600575) currently trades at ¥3.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.43, implying the stock looks roughly 1.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Huaihe Energy (Group) Co generated revenue of 40.0B CNY at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue grew 13.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at 13.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.57 (bear case) to ¥4.28 (bull case); at ¥3.37, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 2%, 600575 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥2.53 ¥2.70 ¥3.01 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.21 ¥1.66 ¥2.04 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.5000 ¥1.03 ¥1.64 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.61 ¥11.23 ¥15.76 54
Lynch FV ¥5.80 ¥8.29 ¥10.78 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.80 ¥8.29 ¥10.78 46
EPV ¥1.21 ¥1.66 ¥2.04 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.5000 ¥1.03 ¥1.64 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.5000 ¥0.8700 ¥1.08 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.73 ¥4.97 ¥6.22 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.02 ¥4.03 ¥5.03 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.02 ¥4.03 ¥5.03 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.51 ¥3.83 ¥5.14 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.04 ¥5.86 ¥7.69 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.38 ¥2.59 ¥3.80 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.53 ¥2.05 ¥3.07 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.53 ¥2.70 ¥3.01 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.21 ¥1.66 ¥2.04 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.59 ¥10.84 ¥14.10 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥10.84) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.8700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 40.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.5%
Net margin 3.9%
Return on equity 9.9%
Free cash flow −4.0B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 17.5
More key figures
Operating margin 6.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2200
Dividend yield 4.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -28.6%
Net debt 13.2B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Huaihe Energy (Group) Co.,Ltd engages in the logistics and trade business in China. The company develops and operates ports. It is also involved in railway transportation, thermal power generation, coal blending business, and electricity sales activities, as well as power maintenance services.

Full company description

Huaihe Energy (Group) Co.,Ltd engages in the logistics and trade business in China. The company develops and operates ports. It is also involved in railway transportation, thermal power generation, coal blending business, and electricity sales activities, as well as power maintenance services. The company was formerly known as Anhui Wanjiang Logistics (Group) Co., Ltd and changed its name to Huaihe Energy (Group) Co.,Ltd in September 2019. Huaihe Energy (Group) Co.,Ltd was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Huainan, China. Huaihe Energy (Group) Co.,Ltd operates as a subsidiary of Huainan Mining (Group) Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Huaihe Energy (Group) Co reported revenue of ¥38.8B in FY2025 versus ¥22.8B in FY2021, a compound +14.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.7B in FY2025, compounding +40.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
38.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+29.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+24.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+28.4%
Revenue +14.3%/yr
FY21 ¥22.8B
FY22 ¥25.4B
FY23 ¥27.3B
FY24 ¥30.0B
FY25 ¥38.8B
Net income +40.4%/yr
FY21 ¥436M
FY22 ¥284M
FY23 ¥840M
FY24 ¥858M
FY25 ¥1.7B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huaihe Energy (Group) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600575

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +2% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 14% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.59× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.10× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.60× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 35 · sector 45
FUTURE 68 · sector 8
PAST 40 · sector 26
HEALTH 70 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huaihe Energy (Group) Co (600575) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.43 versus a price of ¥3.37, about +2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 600575?
Our model-based fair value for Huaihe Energy (Group) Co is ¥3.43 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.37.
What is the quality score of 600575?
Huaihe Energy (Group) Co has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huaihe Energy (Group) Co (600575)?
Huaihe Energy (Group) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 40.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600575?
The net profit margin of Huaihe Energy (Group) Co is about 3.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Huaihe Energy (Group) Co pay a dividend?
Huaihe Energy (Group) Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.76% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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