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Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd ¥3.43, price ¥3.15, upside +8.8%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE000001DR2

HE Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd

600575 · SHG

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value ¥3.43 · Fairly valued (+9%)
!Quality 27/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +24.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.9% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·6.03% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥4.17 ¥1.88 Fair Value ¥3.43 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.88 – ¥4.17 · fair‑value band ¥2.57 – ¥4.28 · the ¥3.15 price screens below the ¥3.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Huaihe Energy (Group) Co.,Ltd engages in the logistics and trade business in China. The company develops and operates ports. It is also involved in railway transportation, thermal power generation, coal blending business, and electricity sales activities, as well as power maintenance services.

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Huaihe Energy (Group) Co.,Ltd engages in the logistics and trade business in China. The company develops and operates ports. It is also involved in railway transportation, thermal power generation, coal blending business, and electricity sales activities, as well as power maintenance services. The company was formerly known as Anhui Wanjiang Logistics (Group) Co., Ltd and changed its name to Huaihe Energy (Group) Co.,Ltd in September 2019. Huaihe Energy (Group) Co.,Ltd was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Huainan, China. Huaihe Energy (Group) Co.,Ltd operates as a subsidiary of Huainan Mining (Group) Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575) currently trades at ¥3.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.43, implying the stock looks roughly 8.1% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥10.84 per share, and 9 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥3.15 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.8200, and 7 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥2.57 (bear) to ¥4.28 (bull), the price of ¥3.15 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 38.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 22.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +14.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.7B CNY in FY2025, compounding +40.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 22.6B CNY (≈ $3.4B) · P/E ratio 14.3 · P/S ratio 0.63 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2200 · Dividend yield 6.0% · Net margin 4.4% · Return on equity 9.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 9%, 600575 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥2.57 Fair Value ¥3.43 Bull ¥4.28
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0219 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ¥1.09 ¥1.49 ¥1.84 74
Residual Income ¥2.49 ¥2.64 ¥2.88 74
ROIC Compounder ¥1.09 ¥1.49 ¥1.84 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.61 ¥11.23 ¥15.76 61
Lynch FV ¥5.80 ¥8.29 ¥10.78 59
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.80 ¥8.29 ¥10.78 55
EPV ¥1.09 ¥1.49 ¥1.84 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.4800 ¥0.9500 ¥1.43 64
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.4800 ¥0.8200 ¥1.00 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.73 ¥4.97 ¥6.22 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.02 ¥4.03 ¥5.03 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.02 ¥4.03 ¥5.03 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.51 ¥3.83 ¥5.14 65
EV/EBITDA ¥4.04 ¥5.86 ¥7.69 67
EV/Revenue ¥1.38 ¥2.59 ¥3.80 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.53 ¥2.05 ¥3.07 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.49 ¥2.64 ¥2.88 74
ROIC Compounder ¥1.09 ¥1.49 ¥1.84 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.59 ¥10.84 ¥14.10 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.3%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.2%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.4% a year
Revenue growth 25 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+20.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15% vs 6%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 216 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 14% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.59× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.03× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.57× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)45 · sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)68 · sector 9
PAST (return on equity)40 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)70 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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S.F. Holding 002352 ¥30.94 ¥106.04 +243%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $149.56 $86.56 −42%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $187.51 $115.95 −38%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$155.70 HK$260.98 +68%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600575

Frequently asked questions

Is Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.43 versus a price of ¥3.15, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 600575?
Our model-based fair value for Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd is ¥3.43 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.15.
What is the quality score of 600575?
Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.43 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.57, optimistic scenario ¥4.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.43, about +9% upside versus a price of ¥3.15 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥2.57, optimistic scenario ¥4.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 40.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.03% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd it is ¥3.43 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥3.15. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600575 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥3.15, fair value ¥3.43, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600575?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.43). For Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd the two are ¥0.2760 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd at about 22.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.15; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.43 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600575?
Our models span a range for Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.57, base ¥3.43, optimistic ¥4.28 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥3.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600575?
Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥3.43 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 8.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
Balance-sheet figures for Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.9%, debt of 0.59 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600575 from its 52-week high?
Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd trades at ¥3.15, about 24% below its 52-week high of ¥4.17 and 2% above the low of ¥3.08 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.43 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥3.15, calculated fair value ¥3.43 (+9%), Quality Score 27/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600575 calculated?
We run Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.43, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥3.15. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.43, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575) come from?
Earnings per share at Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd grew +1.5 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.7 %, EBIT margin −0.7 %, tax rate +0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
The market capitalisation of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd is 22.6B CNY (≈ $3.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd is 0.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
Earnings per share at Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd are ¥0.2200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
The dividend yield of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd is 6.0% (payout 86.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
The net margin of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd is 4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
The operating margin of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
Revenue at Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd is growing +13.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575)?
Earnings per share at Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd are growing −28.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575) generate?
The free cash flow of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd is −4.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd (600575) carry?
The net debt of Huaihe Energy Group Co Ltd is 13.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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