Ningbo Fubang Jingye Group (600768) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 2.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥5.11 to ¥4.17 (−18.4%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −1.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 72% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥2.98 to ¥5.88) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.22 – ¥19.32 · fair‑value band ¥2.98 – ¥5.88 · the ¥14.99 price screens above the ¥4.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Ningbo Fubang Jingye Group (600768) currently trades at ¥14.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.17, implying the stock looks roughly 72.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Fubang Jingye Group generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 6.1%. Revenue grew 83.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.0%. Net debt stands at 48.4M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.98 (bear case) to ¥5.88 (bull case); at ¥14.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at -72%, 600768 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.62) versus Asset-Based (¥2.15). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ningbo Fubang Jingye Group Co.,Ltd engages in the production, processing, and sale of industrial aluminum plates, strips, and aluminum profiles in China and internationally. It also trades in aluminum casting rods, as well as offers warehousing services.
Full company description
Ningbo Fubang Jingye Group Co.,Ltd engages in the production, processing, and sale of industrial aluminum plates, strips, and aluminum profiles in China and internationally. It also trades in aluminum casting rods, as well as offers warehousing services. The company also engages in automobile repair, wholesale of coal, manufacturing and processing of non-ferrous metal composite materials, new alloy materials, manufacturing and processing of aluminum and aluminum alloy sheets, strips, foils, and aluminum profile products; processing of plastic products and auto parts; wholesale and retail of electromechanical equipment, loading and unloading machinery. In addition, it offers vehicle accessories, textile raw materials, hardware and electrical appliances, building materials, metal materials, chemical raw materials, rubber products, wood, daily necessities, and textile products; lifting and installation; loading and unloading; warehousing; cargo yard leasing; parking lot; and real estate development. The company was formerly known as Ningbo Huatong Transportation Co., Ltd. Ningbo Fubang Jingye Group Co.,Ltd was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ningbo Fubang Jingye Group reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥417M in FY2021, a compound +29.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥58.6M in FY2025, compounding +101.6%/yr from FY2021.
600768 screens 72% overvalued. Compare with Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding →
Peer Group
Aluminum · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 | ¥18.54 | ¥26.70 | +44% |
| China Hongqiao Group 1378 | HK$24.54 | HK$45.53 | +86% |
| Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO | ₹955.80 | ₹1,026 | +7% |
| Aluminum Corporation 601600 | ¥8.11 | ¥12.58 | +55% |
| Norsk Hydro ASA NHY | kr 84.96 | kr 58.10 | -32% |
| Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 | 8.02 MYR | 3.88 MYR | -52% |
| Alcoa Corporation AAI | A$70.60 | A$49.53 | -30% |
| Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 | ¥25.12 | ¥29.68 | +18% |
| Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 | ¥25.51 | ¥30.28 | +19% |
| Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 | ¥11.99 | ¥21.86 | +82% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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