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Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 13.7B CNY

LV Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd 600783 · SHG
Price¥16.10
Fair Value¥3.29
Upside-79.6%
Quality52/100
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Strengths

Highly profitable · 199.1% net margin

Risks

!Trades 389% ABOVE our fair value of ¥3.29
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.4 %/yr)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/11)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.4 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 199.1% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
0.35% dividend yield
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.46 – ¥3.29 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price +12.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but trading 389% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥39.44 ¥8.91 Fair Value ¥3.29 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.91 – ¥39.44 · fair‑value band ¥2.46 – ¥3.29 · the ¥16.10 price screens above the ¥3.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783) currently trades at ¥16.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.29, implying the stock looks roughly 79.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 83.9M CNY. Revenue declined 12.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. Net debt stands at 3.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.46 (bear case) to ¥3.29 (bull case); at ¥16.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -80%, 600783 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.1700 to ¥4.40). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.45 ¥4.40 ¥3.84 76
Gordon GGM ¥2.03 ¥2.22 ¥2.51 70
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.76 ¥2.51 ¥3.27 68
All 9 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.32 ¥1.61 ¥1.81 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.03 ¥2.22 ¥2.51 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.03 ¥2.54 ¥3.26 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.47 ¥3.29 ¥4.12 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.1300 ¥0.1700 ¥0.2200 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.47 ¥3.29 ¥4.12 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.02 ¥4.05 ¥6.04 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.45 ¥4.40 ¥3.84 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.76 ¥2.51 ¥3.27 68

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (¥4.40) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.61). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 73.2
Dividend yield 0.3% payout 22.7%
Net margin 199% TTM
Return on equity 3.6% TTM
Return on assets -0.5% TTM
Operating margin -62.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2200
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 83.9M CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.9% 3y avg -9.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +39.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −58.4M CNY FY2025
Net debt 3.6B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Luxin Venture Capital Group Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Shandong Luxin Investment Holdings Group Co.,Ltd. It is a private equity and venture capital firm specializes in start-ups, growth capital, emerging industries, expansion stage, mature stage and pre-IPOs.

Full company description

Luxin Venture Capital Group Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Shandong Luxin Investment Holdings Group Co.,Ltd. It is a private equity and venture capital firm specializes in start-ups, growth capital, emerging industries, expansion stage, mature stage and pre-IPOs. For growth capital and emerging industries, the firm invests in companies with a potential for Small and Medium Enterprise board listing, with a minimum sales revenue of RMB 100 million (USD 15.72 million) for the past year, and with a minimum net profit of RMB 10 million (USD 1.57 million). For growth capital, the firm invests in companies with a potential for Growth Enterprise board listing, with a minimum sales revenue of RMB 30 million (USD 4.71 million) for the past year, and with a minimum net profit of RMB 3 million (USD 0.47 million). The firm prefers to invest in advanced manufacturing, semiconductors, modern agriculture, marine industries, new materials, new energy, energy conservation, environmental protection and low-carbon industries, information technology and next generation information technology biotechnology, high-end equipment, telecommunications, internet, logistics, education, medicine, health care, new pharmaceutical, fitness, food, consumer products, modern services, cultural media, high technology, new economy, and new business industries. It primarily invests in industries located in Shandong province and in China. The firm engages in the manufacture and sale of non-metallic mineral products in China and internationally. The company offers abrasives and abrasive tools, including ceramic ultrafine abrasives, semi-friable alumina, white aluminum oxide granules, wear resistant aluminum oxide, mono-crystalline aluminum oxide, grinding wheels, silicon carbide rods, and abrasive cloth and paper, as well as power series and other products. It also provides zirconium, semi-brittle, chromium, and white corundum; brown and white fused alumina; ceramic microcrystalline abrasives; and laminated wood flooring liquid spray and surface w

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥86.7M in FY2025 versus ¥135M in FY2021, a compound −10.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥144M in FY2025, compounding −27.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 25/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
86.7M CNY
Latest YoY
+3.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (32Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−15.2% (-15.5 + 0.3)
Revenue −10.5%/yr
FY21 ¥135M
FY22 ¥116M
FY23 ¥80.3M
FY24 ¥84.0M
FY25 ¥86.7M
Net income −27.0%/yr
FY21 ¥509M
FY22 ¥481M
FY23 ¥254M
FY24 ¥162M
FY25 ¥144M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +0.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share −9.1 pp

of which total revenue −9.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +9.5 pp
Tax rate +0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

600783 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600783

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 819 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 199% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -63% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.84× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 73.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.05× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 22
PAST15 · sector 28
HEALTH58 · sector 96
DIVIDEND8 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $966.01 $131.95 -86%
SIE SIE €281.95 €139.77 -50%
Eaton Corporation ETN $459.96 $168.65 -63%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $1,042 $398.69 -62%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 202.30 kr 112.59 -44%
Cummins Inc CMI $637.85 $348.94 -45%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $292.51 $145.84 -50%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $163.80 $58.44 -64%
AMETEK, Inc AME $258.52 $125.80 -51%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $451.39 $125.76 -72%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.29 versus a price of ¥16.10, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600783?
Our model-based fair value for Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is ¥3.29 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥16.10.
What is the quality score of 600783?
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 83.9M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600783?
The net profit margin of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is about 199.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 199.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.31% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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