Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 8, 2026: fair value of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd ¥3.29, price ¥14.21, upside -76.9%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.91 – ¥39.44 · fair‑value band ¥2.46 – ¥4.01 · the ¥14.21 price screens above the ¥3.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Luxin Venture Capital Group Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Shandong Luxin Investment Holdings Group Co.,Ltd. It is a private equity and venture capital firm specializes in start-ups, growth capital, emerging industries, expansion stage, mature stage and pre-IPOs.
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Luxin Venture Capital Group Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Shandong Luxin Investment Holdings Group Co.,Ltd. It is a private equity and venture capital firm specializes in start-ups, growth capital, emerging industries, expansion stage, mature stage and pre-IPOs. For growth capital and emerging industries, the firm invests in companies with a potential for Small and Medium Enterprise board listing, with a minimum sales revenue of RMB 100 million (USD 15.72 million) for the past year, and with a minimum net profit of RMB 10 million (USD 1.57 million). For growth capital, the firm invests in companies with a potential for Growth Enterprise board listing, with a minimum sales revenue of RMB 30 million (USD 4.71 million) for the past year, and with a minimum net profit of RMB 3 million (USD 0.47 million). The firm prefers to invest in advanced manufacturing, semiconductors, modern agriculture, marine industries, new materials, new energy, energy conservation, environmental protection and low-carbon industries, information technology and next generation information technology biotechnology, high-end equipment, telecommunications, internet, logistics, education, medicine, health care, new pharmaceutical, fitness, food, consumer products, modern services, cultural media, high technology, new economy, and new business industries. It primarily invests in industries located in Shandong province and in China. The firm engages in the manufacture and sale of non-metallic mineral products in China and internationally. The company offers abrasives and abrasive tools, including ceramic ultrafine abrasives, semi-friable alumina, white aluminum oxide granules, wear resistant aluminum oxide, mono-crystalline aluminum oxide, grinding wheels, silicon carbide rods, and abrasive cloth and paper, as well as power series and other products. It also provides zirconium, semi-brittle, chromium, and white corundum; brown and white fused alumina; ceramic microcrystalline abrasives; and laminated wood flooring liquid spray and surface w
Stock analysis
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783) currently trades at ¥14.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.29, 76.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥4.13 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥14.21 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.61, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥2.46 (bear) to ¥4.01 (bull), the price of ¥14.21 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 86.7M CNY in FY2025 versus 135M CNY in FY2021, a compound −10.5%/yr. Reported net income was 144M CNY in FY2025, compounding −27.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 10.6B CNY (≈ $1.6B) · P/E ratio 88.8 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1600 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 132% · Return on equity 2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% · Operating margin −19.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −77%, 600783 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.1700 to ¥4.13). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥2.46Fair Value ¥3.29Bull ¥4.01
Price ¥14.21 · Upside -76.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0734 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.6% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−15.5% vs −7.2%, slowing
Profit margin 1994 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → −86%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 127 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−76.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.6% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets−0.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)132.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−19.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth47.2% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.84× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)88.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.35× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 6
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 57
PAST (return on equity)10· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)58· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600783
Frequently asked questions
Is Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.29 versus a price of ¥14.21, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600783?
Our model-based fair value for Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is ¥3.29 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥14.21.
What is the quality score of 600783?
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.29 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.46, optimistic scenario ¥4.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.29, about −77% upside versus a price of ¥14.21 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.46, optimistic scenario ¥4.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 92.9M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.46% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd it is ¥3.29 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ¥14.21. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 600783 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥14.21, fair value ¥3.29, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600783?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥14.21); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.29). For Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd the two are ¥10.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd at about 10.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ¥14.21; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600783?
Our models span a range for Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.46, base ¥3.29, optimistic ¥4.01 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ¥14.21). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600783?
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 88.8 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥3.29 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 48.8. Other multiples: P/B 2.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
Balance-sheet figures for Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 2.6%, debt of 0.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600783 from its 52-week high?
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd trades at ¥14.21, about 64% below its 52-week high of ¥39.44 and 7% above the low of ¥13.27 (as of Oct 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, RBC Bearings Incorporated, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ¥14.21, calculated fair value ¥3.29 (−77%), Quality Score 51/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600783 calculated?
We run Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.29, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
The closing price on Oct 8, 2026 was ¥14.21. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.29, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783) come from?
Earnings per share at Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd grew +0.8 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −9.1 %, EBIT margin +9.5 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
The market capitalisation of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is 10.6B CNY (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
Earnings per share at Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd are ¥0.1600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 88.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
The dividend yield of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is 0.5% (payout 40.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
The net margin of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is 132% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
The operating margin of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is −19.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
Revenue at Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is growing +47.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
Earnings per share at Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd are growing −16.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783) generate?
The free cash flow of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is −58.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783) carry?
The net debt of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is 3.6B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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