CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd ¥8.82, price ¥14.16, upside -37.7%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥13.62 – ¥35.38 · fair‑value band ¥6.17 – ¥11.46 · the ¥14.16 price screens above the ¥8.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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CETC Digital Technology Co.,Ltd. provides software and information technology services in China. It operates through the Digital Products, Industry Digitalization, and Digital New Infrastructure segments.
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CETC Digital Technology Co.,Ltd. provides software and information technology services in China. It operates through the Digital Products, Industry Digitalization, and Digital New Infrastructure segments. The company provides software and hardware products, including embedded computers, signal processing, high-speed network switching, data recording storage, and information processing products, which are used in radar communications, manufacturing, industrial control, rail transportation, civil aviation, financial technology, and other industries, as well as for general units and enterprises in aviation, aerospace, shipbuilding, electronics, electricity, and transportation industries. It offers digital intelligence application software; digital infrastructure solutions and products for banks, securities, insurance, internet finance, and regulators; infrastructure and ICT solutions for domestic telecom operators and foreign operators; and network and data center infrastructure for internet companies. In addition, the company offers digital solutions, such as smart production lines, wireless warehousing, industrial control, and smart retail for commercial and manufacturing enterprises; and urban governance, digital water conservancy, digital transportation, smart medical care, and digital energy for party, government, and public services, as well as consulting and design, general contracting management, engineering construction, operation and maintenance support, industry testing, and other services in the fields of data centers and building intelligence. The company was formerly known as Shanghai East-China Computer Co.,Ltd. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Stock analysis
CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850) currently trades at ¥14.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.82, implying the stock looks roughly 60.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥10.33 per share, and 3 of the 23 models we run sit above the ¥14.16 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.01, and 20 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥6.17 (bear) to ¥11.46 (bull), the price of ¥14.16 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 10.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 9.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was 329M CNY in FY2025, compounding −4.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 12.6B CNY (≈ $1.9B) · P/E ratio 38.3 · P/S ratio 1.17 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3700 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 3.1% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −38%, 600850 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥6.17Fair Value ¥8.82Bull ¥11.46
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1368 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.9% a year
Revenue growth 35 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−0.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−4% vs 0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+45.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +43.4% a year for the price.
Compare CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 377 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside−38% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)38.3× · Pricier than median
P/B2.57× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.17× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF25.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA29.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)10· sector 49
PAST (return on equity)24· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)26· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600850
Frequently asked questions
Is CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.82 versus a price of ¥14.16, about −38% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600850?
Our model-based fair value for CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd is ¥8.82 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥14.16.
What is the quality score of 600850?
CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.82 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥6.17, optimistic scenario ¥11.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.82, about −38% upside versus a price of ¥14.16 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥6.17, optimistic scenario ¥11.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +45.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600850 use?
Our models discount CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.42, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd that is +45.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd grew +5.7 % a year. The price currently implies +45.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (+45.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.75 %: that much free cash flow CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd it is ¥8.82 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥14.16. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600850 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥14.16, fair value ¥8.82, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600850?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥14.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.82). For CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥5.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd at about 12.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥14.16; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600850?
Our models span a range for CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥6.17, base ¥8.82, optimistic ¥11.46 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥14.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600850?
CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥8.82 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 29.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
Balance-sheet figures for CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600850 from its 52-week high?
CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥14.16, about 60% below its 52-week high of ¥35.38 and 4% above the low of ¥13.62 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥14.16, calculated fair value ¥8.82 (−38%), Quality Score 53/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600850 calculated?
We run CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥8.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥14.16. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.82, about −38% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥6.17 to ¥11.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850) come from?
Earnings per share at CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd grew +5.3 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.0 %, EBIT margin +0.3 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
The market capitalisation of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd is 12.6B CNY (≈ $1.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd is 1.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
Earnings per share at CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd are ¥0.3700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
The dividend yield of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd is 1.3% (payout 49.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
The net margin of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd is 3.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
The operating margin of CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
Revenue at CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd is growing +2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850)?
Earnings per share at CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd are growing −49.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd (600850) hold?
CETC Digital Technology Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 1.4B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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