China Hainan Rubber Industry Group (601118) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 23.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥3.89 to ¥7.78 (+100.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +12.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 42% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from ¥4.34 (bear) to ¥7.78 (bull), base ¥7.78. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 46/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.92 – ¥8.34 · fair‑value band ¥4.34 – ¥7.78 · the ¥5.48 price screens below the ¥7.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
China Hainan Rubber Industry Group (601118) currently trades at ¥5.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.78, implying the stock looks roughly 42.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Hainan Rubber Industry Group generated revenue of 40.5B CNY at a net margin of -0.3%. Revenue declined 20.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.8%. Net debt stands at 7.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.34 (bear case) to ¥7.78 (bull case); at ¥5.48, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 42%, 601118 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥8.08) versus Asset-Based (¥1.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Hainan Rubber Industry Group Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, plants, processes, trades in, and finances rubber wood in China.
Full company description
China Hainan Rubber Industry Group Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, plants, processes, trades in, and finances rubber wood in China. The company offers plantation service, including seeds and seedlings; preliminary processing products; deep processing products, such as latex larn, natural latex pillow, natural latex sheet, natural latex mattress, and latex mattress; wood processing comprising household, and wood products; sales and trade; technology; and industry layout services, as well as offers tropical fruits. It is also involved in trading, processing, and rubber planting business, as well as engages in e-commerce and agriculture related services. In addition, the company focuses on warehousing and logistics activities. It serves agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industries. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Haikou, China. China Hainan Rubber Industry Group Co.,Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Hainan Agricultural Reclamation Investment Holding Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Hainan Rubber Industry Group reported revenue of ¥42.2B in FY2025 versus ¥15.3B in FY2021, a compound +28.8%/yr. Reported net income was −¥103M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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