Great Wall Motor Company (601633) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 131B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥19.80 to ¥18.39 (−7.1%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +3.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 17% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ¥13.25 (bear) to ¥23.53 (bull), base ¥18.39. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥14.71 – ¥67.08 · fair‑value band ¥13.25 – ¥23.53 · the ¥15.72 price screens below the ¥18.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Great Wall Motor Company (601633) currently trades at ¥15.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.39, implying the stock looks roughly 17.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Great Wall Motor Company generated revenue of 228B CNY at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. Net debt stands at 21.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥13.25 (bear case) to ¥23.53 (bull case); at ¥15.72, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 17%, 601633 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥52.17) versus Asset-Based (¥6.80). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Great Wall Motor Company Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of automobiles, and automotive parts and components in the People's Republic of China, Europe, ASEAN countries, Latin America, the Middle East, Australia, South Africa, and internationally.
Full company description
Great Wall Motor Company Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of automobiles, and automotive parts and components in the People's Republic of China, Europe, ASEAN countries, Latin America, the Middle East, Australia, South Africa, and internationally. The company offers SUVs, sedans, pick-up trucks, multi-purpose vehicles (MPVs), motorcycles, heavy-duty trucks, and energy vehicles primarily under the Haval, TANK, WEY, ORA, GWM Pick-up, GWM SOUO, and GWM brand names. It also provides investment and financing, logistics and goods transportation, buildings rental, after-sales, customer sales, technical development and consulting, technical, and finance leasing services; consulting services on automotive research and development; and operates investment platform. In addition, the company repairs automobiles; transports general goods; researches, develops, and manufactures auto moulds; researches and manufactures motorcycles and related parts; offers technology services, as well as automotive technology research and development, and technical consultancy services; and processes, recycles, and sells waste and used materials. Further, it engages in the wholesale and retail of car accessories; research and test development of engineering technology; trading and brokerage activities; scrap car recycling and dismantling activities; provision of insurance brokerage, technical, and computer system services; and development of network and information security software. The company was formerly known as Baoding Great Wall Motor Company Limited and changed its name to Great Wall Motor Company Limited in May 2003. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Baoding, China. Great Wall Motor Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Baoding Innovation Great Wall Asset Management Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Great Wall Motor Company reported revenue of ¥223B in FY2025 versus ¥136B in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥9.9B in FY2025, compounding +10.2%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 601633: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Autoliv (ALV) Renews Great Wall Motor Deal As Investors Weigh Whether Shares Are Fully Valued
- How Investors May Respond To Autoliv (ALV) Deepening Global Safety Partnership With Great Wall Motor
- Autoliv Partners with Great Wall Motor to Support Global Expansion
- Motul Returns as Official Lubricant Partner for Great Wall Motor Factory Racing
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $179.76 | $224.63 | +25% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$80.55 | HK$50.85 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 425,000 KRW | 616,918 KRW | +45% |
| General Motors Company GM | $77.72 | $56.93 | -27% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 2,944 MXN | +54% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | $376.64 | $228.05 | -39% |
| Ford Motor Company F | C$11.86 | C$4.00 | -66% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ | C$20.44 | C$35.15 | +72% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | 2,149 CZK | 7,191 CZK | +235% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹13,803 | ₹8,236 | -40% |
Compare Great Wall Motor Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Great Wall Motor Company (601633) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 601633?
What is the quality score of 601633?
What is the revenue of Great Wall Motor Company (601633)?
What is the net profit margin of 601633?
Does Great Wall Motor Company pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Great Wall Motor Company and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.